Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FCSB vs Fenerbahce

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Arena Nationala, Bucharest
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Yuksek I.
Assist: Akturkoglu K.
28'
Yuksek I.
46'
Sub
Politic D. In: Cisotti J.
Out: Politic D.

AI Match Summary

The Europa League 2025/2026 game between FCSB and Fenerbahce finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
FCSB
6%
Draws
90%
Fenerbahce
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fenerbahce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FCSB haven't matched Fenerbahce's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Fenerbahce's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FCSB Clean Sheet 10%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FCSB Fenerbahce
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 13 19
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.25 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 Europa League
FCSB vs Fenerbahce
1:1
Nov 5, 2009 Europa League
Fenerbahce vs FCSB
3:1
Oct 22, 2009 Europa League
FCSB vs Fenerbahce
0:1
Sep 30, 1997 Europa League
Fenerbahce vs FCSB
1:2
Sep 16, 1997 Europa League
FCSB vs Fenerbahce
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FCSB Compare

Top Goalscorer Cisotti J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Fenerbahce Compare

Top Goalscorer Yuksek I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FCSB 10 / 100
Fenerbahce 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FCSB Fenerbahce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FCSB found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Fenerbahce conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

FCSB went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FCSB VS Fenerbahce
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FCSB

(Home)
26 Jul
Miercurea Ciuc
0 : 2
FCSB
23 Jul
FCSB
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
17 Jul
FCSB
2 : 0
Campionii Arges
05 Jul
Royale Union SG
4 : 0
FCSB
29 May
Dinamo Bucuresti
1 : 2
FCSB
Page 1 of 6

Fenerbahce

(Away)
29 Jul
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 1
Fenerbahce
21 Jul
Fenerbahce
1 : 0
Gornik Zabrze
14 Jul
LASK Linz
1 : 2
Fenerbahce
11 Jul
Fenerbahce
4 : 0
Pogon Szczecin
08 Jul
Admira
0 : 5
Fenerbahce
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyon870118:521
2Aston Villa870114:621
3Midtjylland861118:819
4Betis852113:717
5FC Porto852113:717
6Braga852111:517
7Freiburg852110:417
8AS Roma851213:616
9Genk851211:716
10Bologna843114:715
11VfB Stuttgart850315:915
12Ferencvaros843112:1115
13Nottingham842215:714
14Plzen83508:314
15Crvena zvezda84227:614
16Celta Vigo841315:1113
17PAOK833217:1412
18Lille840412:912
19Fenerbahce833210:712
20Panathinaikos833211:912
21Celtic832313:1511
22Ludogorets831412:1510
23Din. Zagreb831412:1610
24Brann82339:119
25Young Boys830510:169
26Sturm Graz82155:117
27FCSB82159:167
28G.A. Eagles82156:147
29Feyenoord820611:156
30Basel82069:136
31Salzburg820610:156
32Rangers81165:144
33Nice81077:153
34Utrecht80175:151
35Malmo FF80174:151
36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:221
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)