Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FCSB vs Petrolul

Romania Romania

Superliga 2025/2026 Arena Nationala, Bucharest
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Tanase F.
(Penalty)
27' Event
Popescu O.
30'
Dawa J.

AI Match Summary

The Superliga 2025/2026 game between FCSB and Petrolul finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FCSB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
FCSB
30%
Draws
29%
Petrolul
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FCSB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Very High Confidence
  • FCSB carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FCSB a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Superliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FCSB Clean Sheet 10%
Petrolul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FCSB Petrolul
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Superliga
FCSB vs Petrolul
3:1
Nov 22, 2025 Superliga
FCSB vs Petrolul
1:1
Jul 19, 2025 Superliga
Petrolul vs FCSB
0:1
Feb 6, 2025 Superliga
Petrolul vs FCSB
0:0
Sep 21, 2024 Superliga
FCSB vs Petrolul
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FCSB Compare

Top Goalscorer Popescu O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olaru D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Petrolul Compare

Top Goalscorer Aymbetov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FCSB 56 / 100
Petrolul 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FCSB Petrolul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Petrolul's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: FCSB scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

FCSB has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FCSB VS Petrolul
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FCSB

(Home)
03 Aug
FCSB
2 : 2
Farul Constanta
30 Jul
FK Auda Riga
4 : 1
FCSB
26 Jul
Miercurea Ciuc
0 : 2
FCSB
23 Jul
FCSB
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
17 Jul
FCSB
2 : 0
Campionii Arges
Page 1 of 6

Petrolul

(Away)
01 Aug
Univ. Craiova
4 : 0
Petrolul
24 Jul
Campionii Arges
1 : 0
Petrolul
19 Jul
Petrolul
1 : 0
Dinamo Bucuresti
11 Jul
Petrolul
2 : 2
Chindia Targoviste
10 Jul
Petrolul
1 : 1
FC ASA Tg. Mures
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 FC UTA Arad 9 5 2 2 14:7 39
8 FCSB 9 4 2 3 13:9 37
9 Otelul 9 4 2 3 17:15 35
10 FC Botosani 9 3 3 3 13:17 33
11 Miercurea Ciuc 9 5 2 2 11:8 33
12 Petrolul 9 2 3 4 9:15 25
13 Farul Constanta 9 1 3 5 8:11 25
14 FC Hermannstadt 9 3 4 2 13:10 25
15 Unirea Slobozia 9 2 3 4 11:13 22
16 Metaloglobus Bucharest 9 2 4 3 10:14 16
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Superliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Main)