Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FCSB vs Petrolul

Romania Romania

Superliga 2025/2026 Arena Nationala, Bucharest
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Tanase F.
(Penalty)
27' Event
Popescu O.
30'
Dawa J.

AI Match Summary

The Superliga 2025/2026 game between FCSB and Petrolul finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FCSB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
FCSB
39%
Draws
31%
Petrolul
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • FCSB carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Superliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FCSB Clean Sheet 12%
Petrolul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FCSB Petrolul
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Superliga
FCSB vs Petrolul
3:1
Nov 22, 2025 Superliga
FCSB vs Petrolul
1:1
Jul 19, 2025 Superliga
Petrolul vs FCSB
0:1
Feb 6, 2025 Superliga
Petrolul vs FCSB
0:0
Sep 21, 2024 Superliga
FCSB vs Petrolul
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FCSB Compare

Top Goalscorer Popescu O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olaru D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Petrolul Compare

Top Goalscorer Aymbetov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FCSB 29 / 100
Petrolul 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FCSB Petrolul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Petrolul's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: FCSB scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

FCSB has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FCSB VS Petrolul
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FCSB

(Home)
26 Jul
Miercurea Ciuc
0 : 2
FCSB
23 Jul
FCSB
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
17 Jul
FCSB
2 : 0
Campionii Arges
05 Jul
Royale Union SG
4 : 0
FCSB
29 May
Dinamo Bucuresti
1 : 2
FCSB
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Petrolul

(Away)
24 Jul
Campionii Arges
1 : 0
Petrolul
19 Jul
Petrolul
1 : 0
Dinamo Bucuresti
11 Jul
Petrolul
2 : 2
Chindia Targoviste
10 Jul
Petrolul
1 : 1
FC ASA Tg. Mures
03 Jul
Arka Gdynia
2 : 0
Petrolul
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7FC UTA Arad952214:739
8FCSB942313:937
9Otelul942317:1535
10FC Botosani933313:1733
11Miercurea Ciuc952211:833
12Petrolul92349:1525
13Farul Constanta91358:1125
14FC Hermannstadt934213:1025
15Unirea Slobozia923411:1322
16Metaloglobus Bucharest924310:1416
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Superliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Main)