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Feirense vs Arouca

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Feirense and Arouca finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Feirense
35%
Draws
32%
Arouca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / High Confidence
  • Arouca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Feirense's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Feirense Clean Sheet 17%
Arouca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Feirense Arouca
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Feirense vs Arouca
0:0
Nov 18, 2022 League Cup
Arouca vs Feirense
1:1
Mar 27, 2021 Liga Portugal 2
Arouca vs Feirense
1:0
Nov 6, 2020 Liga Portugal 2
Feirense vs Arouca
0:1
Jul 17, 2019 Club Friendly
Feirense vs Arouca
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Feirense 48 / 100
Arouca 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Feirense Arouca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Feirense's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Arouca has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Feirense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Feirense VS Arouca
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Feirense

(Home)
01 Aug
Uniao Lamas
3 : 2
Feirense
01 Aug
Feirense
2 : 0
Casa Pia
18 Jul
Feirense
0 : 0
Arouca
17 May
Leiria
2 : 2
Feirense
09 May
Feirense
1 : 2
Oliveirense
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Arouca

(Away)
01 Aug
Lusitania FC
0 : 2
Arouca
25 Jul
Santa Clara
3 : 0
Arouca
22 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 0
Arouca
18 Jul
Feirense
0 : 0
Arouca
11 Jul
Rio Ave
2 : 1
Arouca
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