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Feirense vs Leonico

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2007 game between Feirense and Leonico finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Feirense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Feirense
15%
Draws
73%
Leonico
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leonico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leonico come out ahead of Feirense on wins alone.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Leonico taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Feirense have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Feirense Clean Sheet 10%
Leonico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Feirense Leonico
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.67 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2024 Baiano 2
Leonico vs Feirense
1:1
Sep 9, 2007 Baiano 2
Feirense vs Leonico
5:0
Aug 5, 2007 Baiano 2
Leonico vs Feirense
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Feirense 10 / 100
Leonico 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Feirense Leonico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leonico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leonico has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Leonico's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Feirense scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Feirense VS Leonico
0 Goals Scored 1.13
5 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Feirense

(Home)
14 Jul
Grapiuna
5 : 0
Feirense
07 Jul
Feirense
1 : 2
Vitoria da Conquista
03 Jul
Feirense
1 : 3
Colo Colo
30 Jun
Leonico
1 : 1
Feirense
26 Jun
Feirense
0 : 1
Fluminense de Feira
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Leonico

(Away)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
19 Jun
Leonico
5 : 2
Jacobina
12 Jun
Leonico
1 : 2
Barreiras
07 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
3 : 0
Leonico
30 May
Leonico
0 : 6
Feira FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feirense 10 9 0 1 26:5 27
2 Galicia 10 7 0 3 23:11 21
3 Guanambi AC 10 7 0 3 16:13 21
4 Camacariense 10 3 2 5 9:17 11
5 AD Astro 10 2 1 7 13:15 7
6 Leonico 10 0 1 9 4:30 1
Promotion - Baiano 2 2007 (Play Offs)