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Felanitx vs Alcudia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Jimenez A.
38' Event
Ripoll M.

AI Match Summary

Alcudia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcudia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Felanitx
15%
Draws
65%
Alcudia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alcudia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alcudia lately — more wins on the board than Felanitx.
  • Alcudia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Felanitx Clean Sheet 10%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Felanitx Alcudia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Alcudia
0:2
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Felanitx
2:1
Feb 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Felanitx
1:0
Oct 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Alcudia
3:1
Apr 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Alcudia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Felanitx Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Alcudia Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ripoll M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Felanitx 10 / 100
Alcudia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Felanitx Alcudia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcudia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcudia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Felanitx found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Felanitx went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Felanitx VS Alcudia
1 Goals Scored 1.38
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Felanitx

(Home)
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1
Santanyi
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3
Felanitx
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Mallorca B
8 : 1
Felanitx
Page 1 of 6

Alcudia

(Away)
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)