Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Felanitx vs PE Sant Jordi

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Muntaner B.
26'
Escandell Oliver M.
26'
Escandell Oliver M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 game between Felanitx and PE Sant Jordi finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PE Sant Jordi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Felanitx
20%
Draws
58%
PE Sant Jordi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PE Sant Jordi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • PE Sant Jordi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • PE Sant Jordi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • PE Sant Jordi have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Felanitx Clean Sheet 17%
PE Sant Jordi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Felanitx PE Sant Jordi
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs PE Sant Jordi
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
PE Sant Jordi vs Felanitx
0:1
Jan 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
PE Sant Jordi vs Felanitx
2:1
Sep 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs PE Sant Jordi
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Felanitx Compare

Top Goalscorer Muntaner B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

PE Sant Jordi Compare

Top Goalscorer Siligato E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rosillo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Felanitx 10 / 100
PE Sant Jordi 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Felanitx PE Sant Jordi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PE Sant Jordi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PE Sant Jordi has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Felanitx found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (33 games).

Recent resilience: Felanitx stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Felanitx VS PE Sant Jordi
1.38 Goals Scored 1.17
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.17
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Felanitx

(Home)
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1
Santanyi
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3
Felanitx
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Mallorca B
8 : 1
Felanitx
Page 1 of 7

PE Sant Jordi

(Away)
04 Oct
PE Sant Jordi
0 : 0
Inter Ibiza
27 Sept
Formentera
3 : 0
PE Sant Jordi
20 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
2 : 2
Andratx
12 Sept
Sineu
2 : 4
PE Sant Jordi
06 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
1 : 0
Migjorn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Poblense 34 22 6 6 47:17 72
2 Constancia 34 18 13 3 55:31 67
3 Formentera 34 19 9 6 68:34 66
4 Porreres 34 17 11 6 51:32 62
5 Penya Independent 34 17 7 10 59:34 58
6 Platges de Calvia 34 14 12 8 51:37 54
7 Manacor 34 13 12 9 54:36 51
8 Alcudia 34 13 8 13 51:53 47
9 Binissalem 34 13 8 13 35:34 47
10 Llosetense 34 12 8 14 47:45 44
11 Santanyi 34 10 13 11 40:45 43
12 Mercadal 34 10 10 14 40:43 40
13 Felanitx 34 10 10 14 33:50 40
14 Collerense 34 9 12 13 42:48 39
15 Portmany 34 8 13 13 43:51 37
16 PE Sant Jordi 34 8 6 20 30:52 30
17 Campos 34 4 8 22 31:75 20
18 Migjorn 34 4 4 26 22:82 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 (Play Offs)