Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Muntaner B.
16'
16'
Vinicius Amorim
18'
18'
Salinas M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Felanitx in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Felanitx.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pena Deportiva
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Felanitx haven't matched Pena Deportiva's recent run of results.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on Pena Deportiva taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Pena Deportiva have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Felanitx Clean Sheet 10%
Pena Deportiva Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Felanitx | Pena Deportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 17 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 3.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Pena Deportiva
3:2
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Felanitx
4:1
Feb 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Felanitx
1:0
Oct 6, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Pena Deportiva
1:2
Feb 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Felanitx
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Felanitx Compare
Top Goalscorer Muntaner B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vinicius Amorim
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Pena Deportiva Compare
Top Goalscorer Montori A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.77
Avg xA / game 1.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Felanitx 10 / 100
Pena Deportiva 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Felanitx Pena Deportiva
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pena Deportiva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pena Deportiva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Pena Deportiva lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Felanitx found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Felanitx VS Pena Deportiva
1.2 Goals Scored 2.5
3.6 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
80% Over 2.5 75%
40% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Felanitx
(Home) 10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1 Santanyi
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3 Felanitx
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2 Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3 Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Mallorca B
8 : 1 Felanitx
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1 Santanyi
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2 Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3 Platges de Calvia
28 Mar
Felanitx
1 : 1 Inter Ibiza
14 Mar
Felanitx
1 : 1 Cardassar
Page 1 of 3
Pena Deportiva
(Away) 20 Sept
Ilicitano
1 : 0 Pena Deportiva
13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1 Yeclano
06 Sept
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0 Pena Deportiva
14 Aug
UD Ibiza
5 : 0 Pena Deportiva
20 Jun
Pena Deportiva
5 : 2 Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Ilicitano
1 : 0 Pena Deportiva
06 Sept
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0 Pena Deportiva
14 Aug
UD Ibiza
5 : 0 Pena Deportiva
14 Jun
Arenas Armilla
1 : 1 Pena Deportiva
07 Jun
Manacor
1 : 3 Pena Deportiva
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 105:22 | 84 |
| 2 | Manacor | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 71:39 | 77 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 69:30 | 68 |
| 4 | Constancia | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 62:29 | 62 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 6 | Formentera | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 40:29 | 52 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 31:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:55 | 44 |
| 10 | Platges de Calvia | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:43 | 42 |
| 11 | Binissalem | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 26:34 | 41 |
| 12 | Santanyi | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 43:58 | 41 |
| 13 | Alcudia | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 37:62 | 38 |
| 14 | CD Son Cladera | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 15 | Portmany | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25:50 | 30 |
| 16 | Collerense | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 41:64 | 28 |
| 17 | Felanitx | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32:62 | 26 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34:69 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
