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Felanitx vs Penya Independent - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 game between Felanitx and Penya Independent finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Felanitx
30%
Draws
47%
Penya Independent
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Penya Independent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Felanitx haven't matched Penya Independent's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Penya Independent's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Felanitx Clean Sheet 18%
Penya Independent Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Felanitx Penya Independent
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.82 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Penya Independent
0:0
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Independent vs Felanitx
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Felanitx 10 / 100
Penya Independent 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Felanitx Penya Independent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penya Independent Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penya Independent has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Felanitx scored in 53% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Felanitx has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Felanitx VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Felanitx

(Home)
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1
Santanyi
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3
Felanitx
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Mallorca B
8 : 1
Felanitx
Page 1 of 7

Penya Independent

(Away)
08 Jun
Porreres
1 : 1
Penya Independent
31 May
Penya Independent
0 : 0
Porreres
24 May
Constancia
0 : 1
Penya Independent
17 May
Penya Independent
1 : 1
Constancia
11 May
Santanyi
1 : 0
Penya Independent
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Poblense 34 22 6 6 47:17 72
2 Constancia 34 18 13 3 55:31 67
3 Formentera 34 19 9 6 68:34 66
4 Porreres 34 17 11 6 51:32 62
5 Penya Independent 34 17 7 10 59:34 58
6 Platges de Calvia 34 14 12 8 51:37 54
7 Manacor 34 13 12 9 54:36 51
8 Alcudia 34 13 8 13 51:53 47
9 Binissalem 34 13 8 13 35:34 47
10 Llosetense 34 12 8 14 47:45 44
11 Santanyi 34 10 13 11 40:45 43
12 Mercadal 34 10 10 14 40:43 40
13 Felanitx 34 10 10 14 33:50 40
14 Collerense 34 9 12 13 42:48 39
15 Portmany 34 8 13 13 43:51 37
16 PE Sant Jordi 34 8 6 20 30:52 30
17 Campos 34 4 8 22 31:75 20
18 Migjorn 34 4 4 26 22:82 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 (Play Offs)