Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Felanitx vs Santanyi

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Nebot T.
82' Event
Vinicius Amorim
86' Event
Nebot J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Felanitx and Santanyi finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Felanitx.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Felanitx
30%
Draws
47%
Santanyi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santanyi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Santanyi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Santanyi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Felanitx Clean Sheet 10%
Santanyi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Felanitx Santanyi
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Santanyi
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Felanitx
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Santanyi
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Felanitx
2:0
Mar 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Santanyi
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Felanitx Compare

Top Goalscorer Nebot T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vinicius Amorim
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Santanyi Compare

Top Goalscorer Nebot J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.91
Avg xA / game 1.17

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Felanitx 10 / 100
Santanyi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Felanitx Santanyi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santanyi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santanyi conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Felanitx found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Felanitx stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Felanitx VS Santanyi
1 Goals Scored 0.88
3.33 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Felanitx

(Home)
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1
Santanyi
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3
Felanitx
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Mallorca B
8 : 1
Felanitx
Page 1 of 6

Santanyi

(Away)
26 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Mercadal
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
30 Aug
Andratx
2 : 1
Santanyi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)