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Fencibles W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
03:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fencibles W host Wellington Phoenix 2 W in the National League Women. This has Fencibles W written all over it on paper. Fencibles W have averaged 2 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Wellington Phoenix 2 W's 1.68 scored and 2.52 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.49, favoring Fencibles W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fencibles W
25%
Draws
35%
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Fencibles W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wellington Phoenix 2 W lately — more wins on the board than Fencibles W.
  • Model gives Fencibles W a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Fencibles W Clean Sheet 16%
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fencibles W Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Matches Played 2 31
Wins 2 10
Draws 0 3
Losses 0 18
Goals Scored 2 1.68
Goals Conceded 0 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fencibles W 39 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 2 W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fencibles W Wellington Phoenix 2 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fencibles W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fencibles W scored in 100% of their last 2 games.

Wellington Phoenix 2 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Fencibles W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Wellington Phoenix 2 W registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fencibles W VS Wellington Phoenix 2 W
1 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 3
25% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Fencibles W

(Home)
04 Oct
Southern United W
0 : 3
Fencibles W
26 Sept
Waterside Karori W
0 : 1
Fencibles W

Wellington Phoenix 2 W

(Away)
04 Oct
Eastern Suburbs W
3 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
27 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 1
Canterbury United W
15 Aug
Cashmere Technical W
2 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0
Waterside Karori W
22 Nov
West Coast Rangers W
2 : 2
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland United W 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Eastern Suburbs W 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
3 Waterside Karori W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Fencibles W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
5 Wellington United W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
6 Wellington Phoenix 2 W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
7 West Coast Rangers W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
8 Canterbury United W 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
9 Southern United W 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)