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Fenerbahce vs Lazio

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Zaccagni M.
46'
Sub
Provstgaard O. In: Vecino M.
Out: Provstgaard O.
46'
Sub
Rovella N. In: Cataldi D.
Out: Rovella N.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Fenerbahce and Lazio finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fenerbahce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Fenerbahce
30%
Draws
39%
Lazio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lazio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fenerbahce come out ahead of Lazio on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Fenerbahce have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 17%
Lazio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenerbahce Lazio
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.03 1.69
Goals Conceded 1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Fenerbahce vs Lazio
1:0
Apr 11, 2013 Europa League
Lazio vs Fenerbahce
1:1
Apr 4, 2013 Europa League
Fenerbahce vs Lazio
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fenerbahce Compare

Top Goalscorer Kahveci I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Lazio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenerbahce 30 / 100
Lazio 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenerbahce Lazio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fenerbahce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenerbahce found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Lazio let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Solid form: Fenerbahce remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fenerbahce VS Lazio
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fenerbahce

(Home)
14 Sept
Gaziantep
0 : 0
Fenerbahce
10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1
AS Roma
05 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 2
Besiktas
30 Aug
Samsunspor
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
26 Aug
Lyon
1 : 2
Fenerbahce
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Lazio

(Away)
12 Sept
Lazio
2 : 2
AC Milan
07 Sept
Udinese
1 : 2
Lazio
30 Aug
Lazio
1 : 0
Genoa
24 Aug
Bologna
0 : 1
Lazio
16 Aug
Lazio
0 : 2
Mantova
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