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Fenerbahce vs Rizespor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig 2025/2026 Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul
Fenerbahce Logo

Fenerbahce

2 - 2
FT
Rizespor Logo

Rizespor

Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Antalyali T.
38'
Augusto L.
40'
Hojer C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super Lig 2025/2026 game between Fenerbahce and Rizespor finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Fenerbahce
30%
Draws
39%
Rizespor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rizespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fenerbahce come out ahead of Rizespor on wins alone.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Fenerbahce taking it.
  • Regular Super Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fenerbahce have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 20%
Rizespor Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenerbahce Rizespor
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.18 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Rizespor
2:2
Nov 23, 2025 Super Lig
Rizespor vs Fenerbahce
2:5
Feb 2, 2025 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Rizespor
3:2
Aug 25, 2024 Super Lig
Rizespor vs Fenerbahce
0:5
Feb 17, 2024 Super Lig
Rizespor vs Fenerbahce
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fenerbahce Compare

Top Goalscorer Akturkoglu K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Rizespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Sowe A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sagnan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenerbahce 76 / 100
Rizespor 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenerbahce Rizespor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fenerbahce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenerbahce's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Rizespor has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Fenerbahce stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fenerbahce VS Rizespor
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fenerbahce

(Home)
03 Oct
Turan
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
20 Sept
Fenerbahce
8 : 0
Eyupspor
14 Sept
Gaziantep
0 : 0
Fenerbahce
10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1
AS Roma
05 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 2
Besiktas
Page 1 of 6

Rizespor

(Away)
03 Oct
Rizespor
3 : 0
Boluspor
20 Sept
Goztepe
2 : 2
Rizespor
12 Sept
Eyupspor
0 : 2
Rizespor
07 Sept
Rizespor
0 : 1
Alanyaspor
29 Aug
Gaziantep
1 : 2
Rizespor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 34 24 5 5 77:30 77
2 Fenerbahce 34 21 11 2 77:37 74
3 Trabzonspor 34 20 9 5 61:39 69
4 Besiktas 34 17 9 8 59:40 60
5 Basaksehir 34 16 9 9 58:35 57
6 Goztepe 34 14 13 7 42:32 55
7 Samsunspor 34 13 12 9 46:45 51
8 Rizespor 34 10 11 13 46:52 41
9 Konyaspor 34 10 10 14 43:50 40
10 Kocaelispor 34 9 10 15 26:38 37
11 Alanyaspor 34 7 16 11 41:41 37
12 Gaziantep 34 9 10 15 43:58 37
13 Kasimpasa 34 8 11 15 33:49 35
14 Genclerbirligi 34 9 7 18 36:47 34
15 Eyupspor 34 8 9 17 33:48 33
16 Antalyaspor 34 8 8 18 33:55 32
17 Kayserispor 34 6 12 16 27:62 30
18 F. Karagumruk 34 8 6 20 31:54 30
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig (Main)