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Fenix Mariupol vs Skoruk Tomakovka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Perebora A.
22' Event
Kotsyumaka I.
43' Event
Shmygelskyi B.

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga 2022/2023 game between Fenix Mariupol and Skoruk Tomakovka finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skoruk Tomakovka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Fenix Mariupol
35%
Draws
30%
Skoruk Tomakovka
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Skoruk Tomakovka haven't matched Fenix Mariupol's recent run of results.
  • 30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Skoruk Tomakovka have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Fenix Mariupol Clean Sheet 28%
Skoruk Tomakovka Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenix Mariupol Skoruk Tomakovka
Matches Played 33 22
Wins 11 6
Draws 10 10
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.36 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2023 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Skoruk Tomakovka
0:3
Apr 23, 2023 Persha Liga
Skoruk Tomakovka vs Fenix Mariupol
1:0
Nov 27, 2021 Druha Liga
Skoruk Tomakovka vs Fenix Mariupol
2:1
Aug 23, 2021 Druha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Skoruk Tomakovka
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fenix Mariupol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Skoruk Tomakovka Compare

Top Goalscorer Perebora A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kotsyumaka I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenix Mariupol 38 / 100
Skoruk Tomakovka 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenix Mariupol Skoruk Tomakovka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skoruk Tomakovka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenix Mariupol scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Skoruk Tomakovka conceded in 68% of 22 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Fenix Mariupol has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fenix Mariupol VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fenix Mariupol

(Home)
05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1
Fenix Mariupol
20 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 1
Zhytomyr 2
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2
Zorya
Page 1 of 7

Skoruk Tomakovka

(Away)
26 May
Skoruk Tomakovka
0 : 0
Bukovyna
20 May
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 3
Skoruk Tomakovka
14 May
Skoruk Tomakovka
0 : 0
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
06 May
Dinaz Vyshgorod
1 : 1
Skoruk Tomakovka
30 Apr
Bukovyna
1 : 1
Skoruk Tomakovka
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
9 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 14 6 6 2 21:11 24
10 Skoruk Tomakovka 14 5 8 1 18:9 23
11 Bukovyna 14 5 6 3 18:14 21
12 Dinaz Vyshgorod 14 5 6 3 16:17 21
13 FC Chernihiv 14 5 4 5 15:16 19
14 SC Poltava 14 4 4 6 16:22 16
15 Fenix Mariupol 14 3 3 8 18:23 12
16 Hirnyk-Sport 14 2 5 7 12:22 11
Relegation - Druha Liga 2022/2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2023/2024 (Main)