Sport Picks

Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Kolos Stadium, Kovalivka

Fenix Mariupol

2 - 0

Victoria

Our Tip

Match Events

Kusyi A.

14'

Sydorenko V.

18'

Orikhovskyi P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fenix Mariupol in this Persha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fenix Mariupol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Fenix Mariupol

11%

Draws

Victoria

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Fenix Mariupol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Victoria haven't matched Fenix Mariupol's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Fenix Mariupol's way, sitting at 80%.
Regular Persha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%

Fenix Mariupol Clean Sheet 68%

Victoria Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fenix Mariupol	Victoria
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	9	8
Draws	9	8
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	1.5	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.5	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Persha Liga

Fenix Mariupol vs Victoria

2:0

Nov 8, 2025 Persha Liga

Victoria vs Fenix Mariupol

1:2

Nov 3, 2024 Persha Liga

Victoria vs Fenix Mariupol

0:1

Sep 11, 2024 Persha Liga

Fenix Mariupol vs Victoria

0:4

Oct 1, 2023 Persha Liga

Victoria vs Fenix Mariupol

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fenix Mariupol Compare

Top Goalscorer Sydorenko V.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Orikhovskyi P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Victoria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenix Mariupol 86 / 100

Victoria 11 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fenix Mariupol Victoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FEN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenix Mariupol went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Fenix Mariupol scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Victoria let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Fenix Mariupol VS Victoria

1.5 Goals Scored 1.38

0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63

75% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fenix Mariupol

(Home)

02 Jul

Karpaty Lviv

1 : 1

Fenix Mariupol

27 Jun

Veres Rivne

1 : 1

Fenix Mariupol

01 Jun

Fenix Mariupol

2 : 0

Victoria

23 May

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

0 : 0

Fenix Mariupol

17 May

Fenix Mariupol

0 : 0

Probiy Horodenka

Page 1 of 6

Victoria

(Away)

14 Jul

Livyi Bereg

1 : 1

Victoria

01 Jun

Fenix Mariupol

2 : 0

Victoria

23 May

Victoria

0 : 1

Probiy Horodenka

16 May

Ahrobiznes Volochysk

1 : 0

Victoria

10 May

Victoria

2 : 2

Inhulets

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bukovyna	30	26	3	1	74:21	81
2	Ch. Odesa	30	19	8	3	44:20	65
3	Livyi Bereg	30	19	6	5	50:21	63
4	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	30	16	5	9	36:28	53
5	Inhulets	30	12	10	8	41:32	46
6	Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)	30	9	10	11	33:33	37
7	Metalist Kharkiv	30	10	7	13	31:35	37
8	Probiy Horodenka	30	10	6	14	29:37	36
9	Fenix Mariupol	30	9	9	12	31:32	36
10	Victoria	30	10	6	14	37:38	36
11	UCSA	30	10	6	14	30:40	36
12	Nyva Ternopil	30	8	10	12	24:34	34
13	FC Chernihiv	30	8	7	15	30:36	31
14	Vorskla Poltava	30	7	9	14	23:36	30
15	FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi	30	4	9	17	20:45	21
16	MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya	30	4	7	19	16:61	19
17	Minaj	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

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