Sport Picks
Fenix Mariupol vs Victoria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ukraine
Persha Liga 2025/2026 Kolos Stadium, Kovalivka 
Match Events
7'
7'
Kusyi A.
14'
14'
Sydorenko V.
18'
18'
Orikhovskyi P.
AI Match Summary
Fenix Mariupol in this Persha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fenix Mariupol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fenix Mariupol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Fenix Mariupol haven't matched Victoria's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Fenix Mariupol's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Persha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Fenix Mariupol Clean Sheet 68%
Victoria Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fenix Mariupol | Victoria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 24, 2026 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Victoria
0:1
Jun 1, 2026 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Victoria
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 Persha Liga
Victoria vs Fenix Mariupol
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 Persha Liga
Victoria vs Fenix Mariupol
0:1
Sep 11, 2024 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Victoria
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fenix Mariupol Compare
Top Goalscorer Sydorenko V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Orikhovskyi P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Victoria Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fenix Mariupol 68 / 100
Victoria 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fenix Mariupol Victoria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fenix Mariupol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fenix Mariupol scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Fenix Mariupol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: Victoria has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Fenix Mariupol VS Victoria
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fenix Mariupol
(Home) 05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1 Fenix Mariupol
20 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 1 Zhytomyr 2
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2 Zorya
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
20 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 1 Zhytomyr 2
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2 Zorya
05 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
1 : 1 Kulikiv
16 Aug
Fenix Mariupol
3 : 1 Kolos Kovalivka 2
Page 1 of 3
Victoria
(Away) 03 Oct
Victoria
1 : 0 Inhulets
26 Sept
UCSA
0 : 0 Victoria
21 Sept
Victoria
1 : 3 Nyva Ternopil
14 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 0 Victoria
09 Sept
Victoria
0 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
UCSA
0 : 0 Victoria
14 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 0 Victoria
30 Aug
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 3 Victoria
21 Aug
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 3 Victoria
08 Aug
Lokomotyv Kyiv
0 : 1 Victoria
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bukovyna | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 74:21 | 81 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 44:20 | 65 |
| 3 | Livyi Bereg | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 50:21 | 63 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 36:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Inhulets | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | 37 |
| 8 | Probiy Horodenka | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Fenix Mariupol | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:32 | 36 |
| 10 | Victoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | 36 |
| 11 | UCSA | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 30:40 | 36 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 24:34 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30:36 | 31 |
| 14 | Vorskla Poltava | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 23:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20:45 | 21 |
| 16 | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 16:61 | 19 |
| 17 | Minaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)
