Sport Picks
Match Events
50'
50'
Rodriguez F.
AI Match Summary
The Segunda Division game between Fenix and La Luz finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fenix
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Fenix come out ahead of La Luz on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Fenix's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Fenix Clean Sheet 68%
La Luz Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fenix | La Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 13 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 0.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Segunda Division
Fenix vs La Luz
0:0
Mar 22, 2026 Segunda Division
Fenix vs La Luz
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 Segunda Division
Fenix vs La Luz
0:2
Jul 6, 2025 Segunda Division
La Luz vs Fenix
2:2
Apr 20, 2025 Segunda Division
La Luz vs Fenix
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fenix 68 / 100
La Luz 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fenix La Luz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fenix Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fenix scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Fenix went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
La Luz lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fenix VS La Luz
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fenix
(Home) 19 Sept
Fenix
1 : 1 Colon
13 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
0 : 1 Fenix
06 Sept
Rentistas
2 : 1 Fenix
01 Sept
Colon
3 : 3 Fenix
30 Aug
Fenix
1 : 1 Miramar
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Fenix
1 : 1 Colon
30 Aug
Fenix
1 : 1 Miramar
27 Aug
Fenix
0 : 2 Liverpool M.
16 Aug
Fenix
1 : 4 Plaza Colonia
08 Aug
Fenix
0 : 0 La Luz
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La Luz
(Away) 19 Sept
La Luz
0 : 1 Atenas
12 Sept
Paysandu FC
0 : 1 La Luz
04 Sept
La Luz
1 : 3 Huracan FC
29 Aug
Uruguay Montevideo FC
0 : 0 La Luz
23 Aug
La Luz
0 : 2 Club Oriental De Futbol
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Paysandu FC
0 : 1 La Luz
29 Aug
Uruguay Montevideo FC
0 : 0 La Luz
16 Aug
Colon
2 : 1 La Luz
08 Aug
Fenix
0 : 0 La Luz
26 Jul
Miramar
0 : 1 La Luz
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atenas | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 29:18 | 36 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 25:18 | 31 |
| 3 | Colon | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20:20 | 29 |
| 4 | Club Oriental De Futbol | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:20 | 28 |
| 5 | River Plate Montevideo | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26:23 | 27 |
| 6 | Rentistas | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 21:21 | 27 |
| 7 | Fenix | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 23:21 | 26 |
| 8 | Cerrito | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 23:21 | 26 |
| 9 | Paysandu FC | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24:25 | 24 |
| 10 | Huracan FC | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | 23 |
| 11 | Tacuarembo | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 14:20 | 23 |
| 12 | Miramar | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 21:24 | 22 |
| 13 | La Luz | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14:21 | 21 |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo FC | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18:26 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)
