Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fenix vs Liverpool M.

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Degregorio R. M.
90' Event
Romero D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Fenix
30%
Draws
41%
Liverpool M.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Liverpool M.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Liverpool M. come out ahead of Fenix on wins alone.
  • Liverpool M. are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Liverpool M. arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Liverpool M., who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Fenix Clean Sheet 15%
Liverpool M. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenix Liverpool M.
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Fenix vs Liverpool M.
0:2
Oct 11, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Fenix
1:2
Apr 7, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Fenix vs Liverpool M.
1:3
Sep 3, 2023 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Fenix vs Liverpool M.
1:0
Jul 21, 2023 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Fenix vs Liverpool M.
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fenix Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Liverpool M. Compare

Top Goalscorer Degregorio R. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Romero D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenix 10 / 100
Liverpool M. 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenix Liverpool M.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liverpool M. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenix's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Fenix has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Liverpool M.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 46% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fenix VS Liverpool M.
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fenix

(Home)
13 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
0 : 1
Fenix
06 Sept
Rentistas
2 : 1
Fenix
01 Sept
Colon
3 : 3
Fenix
30 Aug
Fenix
1 : 1
Miramar
27 Aug
Fenix
0 : 2
Liverpool M.
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Liverpool M.

(Away)
14 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 1
Liverpool M.
06 Sept
Liverpool M.
1 : 0
Boston River
02 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 1
Boston River
30 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1
Liverpool M.
27 Aug
Fenix
0 : 2
Liverpool M.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Montevideo City 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
3 Danubio 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 Atenas 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rentistas 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Plaza Colonia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Defensor Sp. 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
4 Cerro Largo 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maldonado 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Cerrito 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 CA Cerro 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Wanderers 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Esp. 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Juventud 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Racing Montevideo 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Club Oriental De Futbol 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Albion 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 River Plate Montevideo 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Progreso 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston River 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Liverpool M. 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
3 Fenix 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
4 Colon 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)