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Feodosiya vs Ocean Kerch

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Feodosiya host Ocean Kerch in the Premier League (Crimea). Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Feodosiya at 1.3 goals for, 2.67 against; Ocean Kerch at 1.45 for, 1.59 against. Head-to-head, Feodosiya have won 2 to Ocean Kerch's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 5:1. xG projections (1.81 - 2.06) back Ocean Kerch to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Feodosiya
20%
Draws
64%
Ocean Kerch
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ocean Kerch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ocean Kerch carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ocean Kerch are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Premier League (Crimea) fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Feodosiya Clean Sheet 10%
Ocean Kerch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Feodosiya Ocean Kerch
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.3 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Feodosiya
5:1
May 16, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Feodosiya vs Ocean Kerch
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Feodosiya
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Feodosiya vs Ocean Kerch
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Feodosiya
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Feodosiya 10 / 100
Ocean Kerch 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Feodosiya Ocean Kerch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ocean Kerch Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Feodosiya scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Ocean Kerch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Ocean Kerch lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Feodosiya VS Ocean Kerch
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Feodosiya

(Home)
09 Sept
Zarechnoye
5 : 0
Feodosiya
05 Sept
Feodosiya
3 : 6
GFK Yalta
30 Aug
Ocean Kerch
5 : 1
Feodosiya
28 Jun
TSK Simferopol
5 : 1
Feodosiya
14 Jun
Feodosiya
0 : 0
MAK
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Ocean Kerch

(Away)
05 Sept
TSK Simferopol
2 : 1
Ocean Kerch
30 Aug
Ocean Kerch
5 : 1
Feodosiya
27 Jun
MAK
3 : 0
Ocean Kerch
20 Jun
Sparta-KT
0 : 0
Ocean Kerch
14 Jun
Ocean Kerch
0 : 5
Zarechnoye
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