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Feodosiya vs Ocean Kerch

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Petrov N.
17' Event
Isaev R.
56' Event
Sechin V.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League (Crimea) game between Feodosiya and Ocean Kerch finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Feodosiya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Feodosiya
33%
Draws
27%
Ocean Kerch
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Feodosiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Feodosiya haven't matched Ocean Kerch's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Feodosiya a 40% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Premier League (Crimea) fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Feodosiya Clean Sheet 10%
Ocean Kerch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Feodosiya Ocean Kerch
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 3.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Feodosiya vs Ocean Kerch
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Feodosiya
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Feodosiya vs Ocean Kerch
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Feodosiya
0:0
Jun 22, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Feodosiya
8:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Feodosiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrov N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sechin V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Ocean Kerch Compare

Top Goalscorer Isaev R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Feodosiya 38 / 100
Ocean Kerch 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Feodosiya Ocean Kerch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FEO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Feodosiya scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Ocean Kerch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Ocean Kerch lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Feodosiya VS Ocean Kerch
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Feodosiya

(Home)
28 Jun
TSK Simferopol
5 : 1
Feodosiya
14 Jun
Feodosiya
0 : 0
MAK
06 Jun
Sparta-KT
3 : 0
Feodosiya
30 May
Feodosiya
2 : 3
Zarechnoye
24 May
GFK Yalta
6 : 0
Feodosiya
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Ocean Kerch

(Away)
27 Jun
MAK
3 : 0
Ocean Kerch
20 Jun
Sparta-KT
0 : 0
Ocean Kerch
14 Jun
Ocean Kerch
0 : 5
Zarechnoye
06 Jun
GFK Yalta
3 : 1
Ocean Kerch
24 May
Ocean Kerch
0 : 4
TSK Simferopol
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