Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FeralpiSalo vs Crotone

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 Stadio Lino Turina, Salo
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Vitale M.
33'
Zennaro M.
36'
Armini N.

AI Match Summary

FeralpiSalo in this Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
FeralpiSalo
30%
Draws
28%
Crotone
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FeralpiSalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Crotone haven't matched FeralpiSalo's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on FeralpiSalo taking it.
  • FeralpiSalo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FeralpiSalo, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Crotone here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
FeralpiSalo Clean Sheet 68%
Crotone Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FeralpiSalo Crotone
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.6 1.48
Goals Conceded 1 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2025 Serie C - Group A
FeralpiSalo vs Crotone
2:1
May 11, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Crotone vs FeralpiSalo
3:1
Aug 9, 2015 Coppa Italia
Crotone vs FeralpiSalo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FeralpiSalo Compare

Top Goalscorer Zennaro M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Di Molfetta D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Crotone Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitale M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FeralpiSalo 68 / 100
Crotone 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FeralpiSalo Crotone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FeralpiSalo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FeralpiSalo's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Crotone has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: FeralpiSalo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Crotone
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FeralpiSalo

(Home)
14 May
FeralpiSalo
2 : 1
Crotone
11 May
Crotone
3 : 1
FeralpiSalo
25 Apr
Arzignano
1 : 0
FeralpiSalo
18 Apr
FeralpiSalo
2 : 0
Pro Vercelli
11 Apr
Alcione Milano
0 : 3
FeralpiSalo
Page 1 of 6

Crotone

(Away)
26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1
Salernitana
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2
Inter U23
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2
Barletta
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Crotone -
TBD -
Benevento 1
Juventus U23 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FeralpiSalo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vicenza -
Renate 0
Arzignano 0
Giana Erminio 1
Virtus Verona 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monopoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ternana -
AlbinoLeffe -
TBD -
Trento 1
Atalanta U23 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassari Torres -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola -
Arezzo 3
Gubbio 1
Vis Pesaro 1
US Pontedera 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rimini -
Catania 3
Giugliano 2
Potenza 2
Picerno 0
Pescara -
TBD -
Pineto 0
Pianese 1
1/16-finals
Crotone 0
Juventus U23 0
TBD -
FeralpiSalo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vicenza -
Renate 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
Monopoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ternana -
AlbinoLeffe 1
Atalanta U23 3
TBD -
Sassari Torres -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola -
Arezzo 0
Vis Pesaro 1
TBD -
Rimini -
Catania 1
Potenza 0
Pescara 2
Pianese 1
1/8-finals
Crotone 4
FeralpiSalo 3
TBD -
Vicenza -
Giana Erminio 6
Monopoli 2
TBD -
Ternana -
Atalanta U23 8
Sassari Torres 3
TBD -
Audace Cerignola -
Vis Pesaro 5
Rimini 4
Catania 2
Pescara 2
Quarter-finals
Crotone 1
Vicenza 3
Giana Erminio 1
Ternana 2
Atalanta U23 2
Audace Cerignola 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pescara 6
Semi-finals
Vicenza 1
Ternana 3
Audace Cerignola 2
Pescara 5
Final
Ternana 1
Pescara 2