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Ferencvaros II vs Erdi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Rostas R.

AI Match Summary

Erdi in this NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erdi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ferencvaros II
30%
Draws
33%
Erdi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferencvaros II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Erdi have won more games recently than Ferencvaros II.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Ferencvaros II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Ferencvaros II Clean Sheet 10%
Erdi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferencvaros II Erdi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.97 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Ferencvaros II
3:3
Mar 8, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Ferencvaros II vs Erdi
0:1
Aug 17, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Ferencvaros II
0:1
Apr 14, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Ferencvaros II vs Erdi
3:0
Oct 1, 2023 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Ferencvaros II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferencvaros II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Erdi Compare

Top Goalscorer Rostas R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferencvaros II 47 / 100
Erdi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferencvaros II Erdi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferencvaros II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferencvaros II found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Erdi let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ferencvaros II remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferencvaros II VS Erdi
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferencvaros II

(Home)
03 Oct
Ferencvaros II
2 : 0
MTK Budapest II
26 Sept
Kaposvar
2 : 2
Ferencvaros II
19 Sept
Ferencvaros II
2 : 3
Ivancsa
05 Sept
Erdi
3 : 3
Ferencvaros II
29 Aug
Ferencvaros II
1 : 0
Sarbogard
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Erdi

(Away)
03 Oct
Erdi
3 : 1
Kaposvar
26 Sept
Ivancsa
4 : 1
Erdi
19 Sept
Erdi
4 : 3
Sarbogard
05 Sept
Erdi
3 : 3
Ferencvaros II
30 Aug
Majosi
3 : 2
Erdi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)