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Ferencvaros II vs Penzugyor SE

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kuznyecov D.
61' Event
Foldi D.
63' Event
Serdiukov O.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 game between Ferencvaros II and Penzugyor SE finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Ferencvaros II
30%
Draws
8%
Penzugyor SE
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferencvaros II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferencvaros II come out ahead of Penzugyor SE on wins alone.
  • Ferencvaros II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ferencvaros II Clean Sheet 18%
Penzugyor SE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferencvaros II Penzugyor SE
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 2.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Ferencvaros II vs Penzugyor SE
2:2
Aug 6, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Penzugyor SE vs Ferencvaros II
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferencvaros II Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuznyecov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Serdiukov O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.08

Penzugyor SE Compare

Top Goalscorer Foldi D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grabant B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferencvaros II 85 / 100
Penzugyor SE 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferencvaros II Penzugyor SE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferencvaros II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferencvaros II's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Penzugyor SE let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ferencvaros II stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferencvaros II VS Penzugyor SE
2 Goals Scored 0.67
2 Goals Conceded 2.33
88% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferencvaros II

(Home)
26 Sept
Kaposvar
2 : 2
Ferencvaros II
19 Sept
Ferencvaros II
2 : 3
Ivancsa
05 Sept
Erdi
3 : 3
Ferencvaros II
29 Aug
Ferencvaros II
1 : 0
Sarbogard
26 Aug
Ferencvaros II
5 : 0
Majosi
Page 1 of 7

Penzugyor SE

(Away)
22 Aug
Penzugyor SE
1 : 2
Harta SE
24 May
Pecsi MFC
1 : 0
Penzugyor SE
17 May
Penzugyor SE
2 : 2
Szekszardi
10 May
Majosi
4 : 0
Penzugyor SE
03 May
Penzugyor SE
1 : 3
Kaposvar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)