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Ferencvaros II vs Sarbogard - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Serdiukov O.

AI Match Summary

Ferencvaros II in this NB III - Southwest matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferencvaros II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ferencvaros II
30%
Draws
23%
Sarbogard
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferencvaros II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferencvaros II have won more games recently than Sarbogard.
  • Win probability leans Ferencvaros II's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ferencvaros II Clean Sheet 20%
Sarbogard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferencvaros II Sarbogard
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 14 4
Draws 7 2
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Ferencvaros II vs Sarbogard
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferencvaros II Compare

Top Goalscorer Serdiukov O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Sarbogard Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferencvaros II 76 / 100
Sarbogard 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferencvaros II Sarbogard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferencvaros II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferencvaros II's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sarbogard conceded in 100% of 20 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ferencvaros II stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Sarbogard registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferencvaros II VS Sarbogard
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferencvaros II

(Home)
03 Oct
Ferencvaros II
2 : 0
MTK Budapest II
26 Sept
Kaposvar
2 : 2
Ferencvaros II
19 Sept
Ferencvaros II
2 : 3
Ivancsa
05 Sept
Erdi
3 : 3
Ferencvaros II
29 Aug
Ferencvaros II
1 : 0
Sarbogard
Page 1 of 6

Sarbogard

(Away)
03 Oct
Ivancsa
4 : 1
Sarbogard
26 Sept
Sarbogard
1 : 1
Budaorsi SC
19 Sept
Erdi
4 : 3
Sarbogard
05 Sept
Sarbogard
2 : 1
Szekszardi
29 Aug
Ferencvaros II
1 : 0
Sarbogard
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 10 9 1 0 30:4 28
2 Kaposvar 9 5 1 3 23:14 16
3 Budafoki MTE 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
4 PTE-PEAC 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
5 Ivancsa 9 5 0 4 21:20 15
6 Ferencvaros II 9 4 3 2 19:13 15
7 Siofok 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
8 Majosi 9 4 2 3 18:18 14
9 Dunaharaszti MTK 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
10 MTK Budapest II 8 4 0 4 21:14 12
11 Erdi 9 3 3 3 21:21 12
12 Budaorsi SC 9 3 2 4 16:26 11
13 Paks II 10 1 3 6 19:23 6
14 Sarbogard 10 1 2 7 9:24 5
15 Szekszardi 9 0 0 9 4:38 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)