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Ferencvaros vs Real Madrid

World World

Club Friendly Groupama Arena, Budapest
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Rivas M.
Assist: Ciria A.
46'
Sub
Ciria A. In: Vinicius Junior
Out: Ciria A.
46'
Sub
Camavinga E. In: Espi C.
Out: Camavinga E.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Ferencvaros and Real Madrid finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Madrid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ferencvaros
35%
Draws
44%
Real Madrid
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Madrid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Ferencvaros have managed 1.93 goals a game lately — Real Madrid are scoring more at 1.96.
  • Model gives Real Madrid a 44% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Real Madrid here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ferencvaros Clean Sheet 16%
Real Madrid Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferencvaros Real Madrid
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 18 18
Draws 5 3
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.93 1.96
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.24 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Ferencvaros vs Real Madrid
1:2
Nov 1, 1995 Champions League
Ferencvaros vs Real Madrid
1:1
Oct 18, 1995 Champions League
Real Madrid vs Ferencvaros
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferencvaros Compare

Top Goalscorer Kodro K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.62

Real Madrid Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Espi C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferencvaros 28 / 100
Real Madrid 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferencvaros Real Madrid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Madrid Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferencvaros's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Real Madrid's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Ferencvaros stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferencvaros VS Real Madrid
1.63 Goals Scored 1.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.86
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferencvaros

(Home)
13 Aug
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 1
Ferencvaros
08 Aug
Ferencvaros
1 : 2
Real Madrid
05 Aug
Ferencvaros
1 : 0
Gornik Zabrze
02 Aug
Ferencvaros
0 : 0
Vasas
30 Jul
Ferencvaros
2 : 2
Twente
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Real Madrid

(Away)
12 Aug
Dep. A Coruna
0 : 1
Real Madrid
08 Aug
Ferencvaros
1 : 2
Real Madrid
01 Aug
Real Madrid
2 : 2
Fiorentina
28 Jul
Real Madrid
4 : 1
Leganes
23 May
Real Madrid
4 : 2
Ath Bilbao
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