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Ferencvaros vs Real Madrid - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly Groupama Arena, Budapest
Ferencvaros Logo

Ferencvaros

1 - 2
FT
Real Madrid Logo

Real Madrid

Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Rivas M.
Assist: Ciria A.
46'
Sub
Ciria A. In: Vinicius Junior
Out: Ciria A.
46'
Sub
Camavinga E. In: Espi C.
Out: Camavinga E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Ferencvaros and Real Madrid finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Madrid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Ferencvaros
20%
Draws
36%
Real Madrid
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ferencvaros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Ferencvaros have managed 2.11 goals a game lately — Real Madrid are scoring more at 2.21.
  • Model gives Ferencvaros a 44% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Real Madrid here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ferencvaros Clean Sheet 15%
Real Madrid Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferencvaros Real Madrid
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 19 19
Draws 6 3
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 2.11 2.21
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Ferencvaros vs Real Madrid
1:2
Nov 1, 1995 Champions League
Ferencvaros vs Real Madrid
1:1
Oct 18, 1995 Champions League
Real Madrid vs Ferencvaros
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferencvaros Compare

Top Goalscorer Kodro K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Real Madrid Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Espi C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferencvaros 66 / 100
Real Madrid 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferencvaros Real Madrid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferencvaros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferencvaros's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ferencvaros stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Real Madrid's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferencvaros VS Real Madrid
2.88 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferencvaros

(Home)
20 Sept
Nyiregyhaza
1 : 1
Ferencvaros
17 Sept
Celtic
1 : 3
Ferencvaros
12 Sept
Debreceni EAC
0 : 7
Ferencvaros
06 Sept
Ferencvaros
2 : 2
Ujpest
03 Sept
Gyor
0 : 3
Ferencvaros
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Real Madrid

(Away)
20 Sept
Atl. Madrid
2 : 1
Real Madrid
15 Sept
Elche
2 : 3
Real Madrid
12 Sept
Real Madrid
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
08 Sept
Real Madrid
2 : 1
Inter
04 Sept
Betis
1 : 0
Real Madrid
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