Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferencvaros W vs Sparta Prague W

Europe Europe

UEFA Europa Cup Women 2025/2026 III. Keruleti TVE, Budapest
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Bergford H.
Assist: Khyrova M.
19' Event
Cerna F.
Assist: Khyrova M.
22'
Sub
Zagonyi B. In: Nemeth A.
Out: Zagonyi B.

AI Match Summary

Sparta Prague W in this UEFA Europa Cup Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Ferencvaros W
15%
Draws
32%
Sparta Prague W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferencvaros W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferencvaros W have won more games recently than Sparta Prague W.
  • Win probability leans Ferencvaros W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Ferencvaros W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sparta Prague W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ferencvaros W Clean Sheet 12%
Sparta Prague W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferencvaros W Sparta Prague W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 26 21
Draws 2 1
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 3.94 3
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2025 UEFA Europa Cup Women
Ferencvaros W vs Sparta Prague W
0:5
Oct 8, 2025 UEFA Europa Cup Women
Sparta Prague W vs Ferencvaros W
0:0
Jul 26, 2023 Club Friendly Women
Sparta Prague W vs Ferencvaros W
2:1
Jan 21, 2023 Club Friendly Women
Sparta Prague W vs Ferencvaros W
2:1
Aug 4, 2022 Club Friendly Women
Ferencvaros W vs Sparta Prague W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferencvaros W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Sparta Prague W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bergford H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cerna F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferencvaros W 38 / 100
Sparta Prague W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferencvaros W Sparta Prague W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferencvaros W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ferencvaros W scored in 100% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Ferencvaros W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sparta Prague W has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ferencvaros W VS Sparta Prague W
3.38 Goals Scored 3
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferencvaros W

(Home)
27 Sept
Szekszardi W
0 : 7
Ferencvaros W
19 Sept
Ferencvaros W
2 : 0
MTK Budapest W
16 Sept
Szent Mihaly W
2 : 3
Ferencvaros W
12 Sept
Ferencvaros W
3 : 0
Videoton W
05 Sept
Honved W
0 : 1
Ferencvaros W
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Sparta Prague W

(Away)
26 Sept
Lokomotiva Brno W
0 : 2
Sparta Prague W
23 Sept
Sparta Prague W
4 : 1
Farul Constanta W
19 Sept
Sparta Prague W
8 : 0
Ostrava W
12 Sept
Plzen W
3 : 2
Sparta Prague W
06 Sept
Sparta Prague W
1 : 2
Slavia Prague W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Braga W -
TBD -
Aris Limassol W 0
RSC Anderlecht W 14
Sparta Prague W -
TBD -
TBD -
Ferencvaros W -
Inter W 5
Hibernian W 1
Vllaznia W 4
Kolos Kovalivka W 0
Grasshopper W 5
BIIK Shymkent W 1
Ajax W 4
Sturm Graz W 0
Sporting W -
TBD -
TBD -
Rosengard W -
Minsk FK W -
TBD -
Rosenborg W 3
PSV W 4
Eintracht Frankfurt W -
TBD -
TBD -
Slovacko W -
Vorskla Poltava W -
TBD -
TBD -
Fortuna Hjorring W -
Breidablik W -
TBD -
Partizani W 0
Spartak Subotica W 8
Gintra Universitetas W -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland W 8
KuPS W 2
Hacken W -
TBD -
TBD -
GKS Katowice W -
Young Boys W -
TBD -
SFK 2000 Sarajevo W 4
Fomget Genclik Ve Spor W 3
Koge W 6
Farul Constanta W 2
Glasgow City W 6
Athlone W 0
Slavia Prague W -
TBD -
TBD -
Austria Vienna W -
ZNK Mura W -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Minsk W -
Hammarby W -
TBD -
TBD -
Brann W -
Final
Braga W 3
RSC Anderlecht W 4
Sparta Prague W 5
Ferencvaros W 0
Inter W 12
Vllaznia W 0
Grasshopper W 1
Ajax W 2
Sporting W 5
Rosengard W 2
Minsk FK W 0
PSV W 2
Eintracht Frankfurt W 5
Slovacko W 0
Vorskla Poltava W 1
Fortuna Hjorring W 2
Breidablik W 5
Spartak Subotica W 1
Gintra Universitetas W 1
Nordsjaelland W 5
Hacken W 7
GKS Katowice W 1
Young Boys W 3
SFK 2000 Sarajevo W 0
Koge W 5
Glasgow City W 6
Slavia Prague W 3
Austria Vienna W 4
ZNK Mura W 3
Din. Minsk W 2
Hammarby W 5
Brann W 2