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Ferizaj vs Mitrovica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferizaj host Mitrovica in the Liga e Pare. Little to choose between these two on current form. Mitrovica have shipped 1.83 goals a game lately, while Ferizaj have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.29. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.25 - 1.06) back Ferizaj to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Ferizaj
35%
Draws
16%
Mitrovica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ferizaj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferizaj come out ahead of Mitrovica on wins alone.
  • Ferizaj are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ferizaj Clean Sheet 20%
Mitrovica Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferizaj Mitrovica
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 3
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.29 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferizaj 85 / 100
Mitrovica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferizaj Mitrovica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferizaj Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mitrovica conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Ferizaj went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ferizaj's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Mitrovica lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferizaj VS Mitrovica
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferizaj

(Home)
03 Oct
Ramiz Sadiku
0 : 0
Ferizaj
27 Sept
Ferizaj
0 : 0
2 Korriku
20 Sept
Vellaznimi
1 : 5
Ferizaj
13 Sept
Ferizaj
2 : 0
Istogu
06 Sept
Vjosa
0 : 0
Ferizaj
Page 1 of 7

Mitrovica

(Away)
26 Sept
Prishtina e Re
4 : 1
Mitrovica
19 Sept
Mitrovica
0 : 1
Besa Peja
11 Sept
Suhareka
1 : 1
Mitrovica
06 Sept
Mitrovica
2 : 2
Tefik Canga
30 Aug
KF Lepenci
0 : 0
Mitrovica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Ferizaj 8 5 3 0 16:4 18
2 Liria 7 5 1 1 9:4 16
3 Prishtina e Re 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 Rilindja 8 4 2 2 11:8 14
5 Trepca 89 8 3 4 1 8:5 13
6 Suhareka 8 3 3 2 15:10 12
7 2 Korriku 8 3 2 3 6:5 11
8 Trepca Mitrovice 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
9 Ferizaj 8 2 4 2 9:5 10
10 Istogu 8 3 1 4 7:12 10
11 Vellaznimi 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
12 Vjosa 8 2 3 3 9:8 9
13 Kika 8 1 6 1 4:6 9
14 Ramiz Sadiku 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
15 Besa Peja 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
16 KF Lepenci 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Mitrovica 7 0 4 3 5:11 4
18 Tefik Canga 8 0 3 5 7:13 3
Promotion - Superliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga (Relegation)