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Fermana vs Celano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2014/2015 Stadio Bruno Recchioni, Fermo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2014/2015 game between Fermana and Celano finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fermana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Fermana
20%
Draws
16%
Celano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fermana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Fermana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Fermana taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Fermana Clean Sheet 20%
Celano Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fermana Celano
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 11 5
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 0.72 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Fermana vs Celano
1:0
Dec 7, 2014 Serie D - Group F
Celano vs Fermana
0:2
Feb 23, 2014 Serie D - Group F
Fermana vs Celano
1:1
Oct 13, 2013 Serie D - Group F
Celano vs Fermana
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fermana 40 / 100
Celano 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fermana Celano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fermana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celano let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Celano's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Fermana scored in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fermana VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fermana

(Home)
04 May
Castelfidardo
1 : 0
Fermana
27 Apr
Fermana
0 : 2
Sambenedettese
17 Apr
Fermana
0 : 2
Civitanovese Calcio
13 Apr
Termoli
1 : 1
Fermana
06 Apr
Fermana
2 : 0
Avezzano
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Celano

(Away)
10 May
Celano
0 : 1
Vis Pesaro
03 May
Matelica
1 : 1
Celano
26 Apr
Celano
0 : 1
Campobasso
19 Apr
Fermana
1 : 0
Celano
12 Apr
Celano
0 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maceratese 34 22 12 0 61:22 78
2 Fano 34 22 8 4 60:25 74
3 Sambenedettese 34 18 9 7 71:40 63
4 Campobasso 34 15 12 7 49:42 57
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 13 8 59:46 52
6 Calcio Chieti 34 12 14 8 52:46 50
7 Civitanovese Calcio 34 13 11 10 56:51 50
8 Matelica 34 11 12 11 36:34 45
9 Giulianova 34 10 15 9 44:43 45
10 Fermana 34 11 9 14 37:44 42
11 Jesina 34 10 12 12 40:38 42
12 Termoli 34 10 9 15 31:53 39
13 Recanatese 34 9 12 13 37:44 39
14 Amiternina 34 9 11 14 30:45 38
15 Castelfidardo 34 7 10 17 25:49 31
16 Agnonese 34 8 7 19 31:51 31
17 Vis Pesaro 34 6 11 17 35:45 29
18 Celano 34 4 5 25 23:59 17
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2014/2015 (Play Out)