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Fernando de la Mora vs Deportivo Capiata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Galeano L.

AI Match Summary

Fernando de la Mora in this Division Intermedia matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fernando de la Mora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Fernando de la Mora
20%
Draws
20%
Deportivo Capiata
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fernando de la Mora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Deportivo Capiata haven't matched Fernando de la Mora's recent run of results.
  • Fernando de la Mora are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Division Intermedia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Fernando de la Mora Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Capiata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fernando de la Mora Deportivo Capiata
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 7 12
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Deportivo Capiata
1:0
May 19, 2026 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Capiata vs Fernando de la Mora
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Capiata vs Fernando de la Mora
2:1
Jun 9, 2025 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Deportivo Capiata
0:0
Oct 2, 2021 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Capiata vs Fernando de la Mora
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fernando de la Mora Compare

Top Goalscorer Galeano L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Deportivo Capiata Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fernando de la Mora 59 / 100
Deportivo Capiata 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fernando de la Mora Deportivo Capiata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fernando de la Mora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Capiata let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Fernando de la Mora scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Deportivo Capiata registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fernando de la Mora VS Deportivo Capiata
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fernando de la Mora

(Home)
05 Oct
Fernando de la Mora
0 : 2
General Caballero JLM
28 Sept
Guairena FC
0 : 2
Fernando de la Mora
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
19 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
2 : 1
Resistencia
13 Sept
Sol de America
3 : 2
Fernando de la Mora
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Capiata

(Away)
02 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1
Deportivo Capiata
27 Sept
Deportivo Capiata
0 : 0
12 de Junio
21 Sept
Encarnacion FC
3 : 1
Deportivo Capiata
13 Sept
Deportivo Capiata
0 : 1
Deportivo Santani
09 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 0
Deportivo Capiata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Santani 27 17 3 7 46:25 54
2 General Caballero JLM 27 16 5 6 54:33 53
3 12 de Junio 27 14 8 5 36:27 50
4 Benjamin Aceval 27 12 6 9 42:35 42
5 Sportivo Carapegua 28 12 6 10 36:41 42
6 Sol de America 28 9 14 5 35:29 41
7 Paraguari AC 28 12 5 11 40:37 41
8 Independiente FBC 27 10 10 7 40:35 40
9 Atletico Tembetary 27 10 6 11 39:42 36
10 Resistencia 27 9 8 10 31:32 35
11 Fernando de la Mora 27 9 7 11 30:37 34
12 Deportivo Capiata 27 6 11 10 31:37 29
13 3 de Noviembre 27 6 8 13 33:40 26
14 Guairena FC 27 6 7 14 22:36 25
15 Tacuary 28 4 12 12 32:47 24
16 Encarnacion FC 27 6 4 17 25:39 22
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)