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Fernando de la Mora vs Guairena FC

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ojeda J.
39' Event
Marin A.
Penalty Missed
71'
Chaparro R.

AI Match Summary

Guairena FC in this Division Intermedia matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guairena FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Fernando de la Mora
20%
Draws
10%
Guairena FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fernando de la Mora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guairena FC lately — more wins on the board than Fernando de la Mora.
  • Fernando de la Mora are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division Intermedia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Guairena FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Fernando de la Mora Clean Sheet 68%
Guairena FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fernando de la Mora Guairena FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Guairena FC
1:3
Jul 25, 2025 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Fernando de la Mora
5:2
Apr 20, 2025 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Guairena FC
0:1
Aug 22, 2024 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Fernando de la Mora
0:1
May 18, 2024 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Guairena FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fernando de la Mora Compare

Top Goalscorer Ojeda J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Guairena FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Marin A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Torales J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fernando de la Mora 95 / 100
Guairena FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fernando de la Mora Guairena FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fernando de la Mora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Fernando de la Mora scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Guairena FC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Fernando de la Mora went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fernando de la Mora VS Guairena FC
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fernando de la Mora

(Home)
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
19 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
2 : 1
Resistencia
13 Sept
Sol de America
3 : 2
Fernando de la Mora
09 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 0
Deportivo Capiata
04 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 0
Fernando de la Mora
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Guairena FC

(Away)
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1
Guairena FC
18 Sept
3 de Noviembre
1 : 1
Guairena FC
12 Sept
Guairena FC
0 : 3
General Caballero JLM
08 Sept
Paraguari AC
3 : 1
Guairena FC
04 Sept
Resistencia
2 : 1
Guairena FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 General Caballero JLM 26 15 5 6 52:33 50
2 Deportivo Santani 25 15 3 7 43:24 48
3 12 de Junio 25 14 6 5 35:26 48
4 Benjamin Aceval 26 12 6 8 40:32 42
5 Sol de America 26 9 13 4 32:24 40
6 Sportivo Carapegua 26 11 5 10 31:38 38
7 Independiente FBC 26 9 10 7 37:33 37
8 Paraguari AC 25 10 5 10 34:33 35
9 Resistencia 25 8 8 9 27:30 32
10 Fernando de la Mora 25 8 7 10 28:35 31
11 Atletico Tembetary 25 8 6 11 34:39 30
12 Deportivo Capiata 25 6 9 10 30:36 27
13 3 de Noviembre 26 6 8 12 33:39 26
14 Guairena FC 25 6 7 12 22:33 25
15 Tacuary 26 4 12 10 28:40 24
16 Encarnacion FC 26 6 4 16 25:36 22
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)