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Fernando de la Mora vs Guairena FC

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ojeda J.
39' Event
Marin A.
Penalty Missed
71'
Chaparro R.

AI Match Summary

Guairena FC in this Division Intermedia matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guairena FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Fernando de la Mora
39%
Draws
30%
Guairena FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guairena FC lately — more wins on the board than Fernando de la Mora.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division Intermedia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Guairena FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Fernando de la Mora Clean Sheet 17%
Guairena FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fernando de la Mora Guairena FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Guairena FC
1:3
Jul 25, 2025 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Fernando de la Mora
5:2
Apr 20, 2025 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Guairena FC
0:1
Aug 22, 2024 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Fernando de la Mora
0:1
May 18, 2024 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Guairena FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fernando de la Mora Compare

Top Goalscorer Ojeda J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Guairena FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Marin A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Torales J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fernando de la Mora 31 / 100
Guairena FC 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fernando de la Mora Guairena FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Fernando de la Mora scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Guairena FC let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Fernando de la Mora went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fernando de la Mora VS Guairena FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
112 de Junio1493221:1130
2Benjamin Aceval1484224:1328
3General Caballero JLM1483330:2027
4Deportivo Santani1473418:1124
5Sol de America1457217:1222
6Atletico Tembetary1463523:2021
7Deportivo Capiata1456321:1821
8Guairena FC1463516:1721
9Independiente FBC1455421:1920
10Resistencia1446416:1818
11Sportivo Carapegua1444616:2616
12Fernando de la Mora1443715:2215
13Tacuary1427519:2313
14Paraguari AC1424812:1810
15Encarnacion FC14221013:228
163 de Noviembre1407712:247