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Fernando de la Mora vs Resistencia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Chaparro R.
22' Event
Chaparro R.
76' Event
Anibal

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia game between Fernando de la Mora and Resistencia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fernando de la Mora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Fernando de la Mora
15%
Draws
28%
Resistencia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fernando de la Mora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Fernando de la Mora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Fernando de la Mora's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Fernando de la Mora Clean Sheet 20%
Resistencia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fernando de la Mora Resistencia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Resistencia
2:1
May 30, 2026 Division Intermedia
Resistencia vs Fernando de la Mora
3:1
Aug 4, 2025 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Resistencia
1:1
Apr 28, 2025 Division Intermedia
Resistencia vs Fernando de la Mora
1:0
Aug 29, 2024 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Resistencia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fernando de la Mora Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaparro R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Resistencia Compare

Top Goalscorer Anibal
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fernando de la Mora 42 / 100
Resistencia 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fernando de la Mora Resistencia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fernando de la Mora scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Resistencia conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Resistencia registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fernando de la Mora VS Resistencia
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fernando de la Mora

(Home)
05 Oct
Fernando de la Mora
0 : 2
General Caballero JLM
28 Sept
Guairena FC
0 : 2
Fernando de la Mora
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
19 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
2 : 1
Resistencia
13 Sept
Sol de America
3 : 2
Fernando de la Mora
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Resistencia

(Away)
02 Oct
Encarnacion FC
0 : 3
Resistencia
27 Sept
Resistencia
1 : 2
Deportivo Santani
19 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
2 : 1
Resistencia
12 Sept
Resistencia
1 : 2
3 de Noviembre
08 Sept
General Caballero JLM
2 : 1
Resistencia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Santani 27 17 3 7 46:25 54
2 General Caballero JLM 27 16 5 6 54:33 53
3 12 de Junio 27 14 8 5 36:27 50
4 Benjamin Aceval 27 12 6 9 42:35 42
5 Sportivo Carapegua 28 12 6 10 36:41 42
6 Sol de America 28 9 14 5 35:29 41
7 Paraguari AC 28 12 5 11 40:37 41
8 Independiente FBC 27 10 10 7 40:35 40
9 Atletico Tembetary 27 10 6 11 39:42 36
10 Resistencia 27 9 8 10 31:32 35
11 Fernando de la Mora 27 9 7 11 30:37 34
12 Deportivo Capiata 27 6 11 10 31:37 29
13 3 de Noviembre 27 6 8 13 33:40 26
14 Guairena FC 27 6 7 14 22:36 25
15 Tacuary 28 4 12 12 32:47 24
16 Encarnacion FC 27 6 4 17 25:39 22
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)