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Fernandopolis vs Sao Jose EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fernandopolis in this Paulista A4 2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fernandopolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Fernandopolis
30%
Draws
62%
Sao Jose EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Jose EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Fernandopolis haven't matched Sao Jose EC's recent run of results.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Sao Jose EC taking it.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sao Jose EC here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Fernandopolis Clean Sheet 18%
Sao Jose EC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fernandopolis Sao Jose EC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 2 5
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 1 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.2 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2019 Paulista A4
Fernandopolis vs Sao Jose EC
3:2
Aug 31, 2019 Paulista A4
Sao Jose EC vs Fernandopolis
1:0
Apr 3, 2016 Paulista A3
Sao Jose EC vs Fernandopolis
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fernandopolis 10 / 100
Sao Jose EC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fernandopolis Sao Jose EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Jose EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Jose EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Fernandopolis found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Fernandopolis remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sao Jose EC
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fernandopolis

(Home)
22 Jun
Fernandopolis
3 : 4
Olimpia FC
15 Jun
Tupa
2 : 0
Fernandopolis
09 Jun
Fernandopolis
0 : 4
Inter de Bebedouro
02 Jun
Fernandopolis
0 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
25 May
Tanabi
4 : 1
Fernandopolis
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Sao Jose EC

(Away)
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0
Sao Jose EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
15 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 3
Sao Jose EC
08 Aug
Sao Jose EC
2 : 0
Santo Andre
02 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0
Sao Jose EC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Francana 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
2 Marilia 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
3 Catanduva FC 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
4 Tupa 6 2 0 4 7:11 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fernandopolis 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
2 Sao Jose EC 6 2 3 1 10:7 9
3 Guarulhos 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
4 Catanduvense 6 0 1 5 3:14 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Rio Branco SP 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
3 Itapirense 6 1 4 1 10:8 7
4 Maua FC 6 1 2 3 10:13 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paulista 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
2 Assisense 6 3 1 2 5:6 10
3 Independente SP 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Amparo SP 6 1 1 4 8:11 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Play Offs)