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Fernwald vs Hummetroth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 game between Fernwald and Hummetroth finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fernwald.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Fernwald
35%
Draws
41%
Hummetroth
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hummetroth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hummetroth come out ahead of Fernwald on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Fernwald Clean Sheet 15%
Hummetroth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fernwald Hummetroth
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 13 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.52 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
Hummetroth vs Fernwald
2:2
Apr 18, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Hummetroth
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Hummetroth vs Fernwald
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fernwald 35 / 100
Hummetroth 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fernwald Hummetroth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hummetroth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fernwald scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Hummetroth conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Fernwald stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fernwald VS Hummetroth
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fernwald

(Home)
03 Oct
Fernwald
2 : 2
RW Walldorf
26 Sept
Hummetroth
2 : 2
Fernwald
19 Sept
Fernwald
0 : 0
Eddersheim
12 Sept
Giessen
4 : 3
Fernwald
09 Sept
Pohlheim
1 : 1
Fernwald
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Hummetroth

(Away)
04 Oct
Eddersheim
2 : 1
Hummetroth
26 Sept
Hummetroth
2 : 2
Fernwald
19 Sept
VfB Marburg
1 : 2
Hummetroth
12 Sept
Hummetroth
6 : 1
Hanauer SC
09 Sept
Unter-Flockenbach
3 : 0
Hummetroth
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Frankfurt II 34 29 3 2 100:34 90
2 Eddersheim 34 19 7 8 75:50 64
3 Stadtallendorf 34 16 11 7 57:40 59
4 Giessen 34 18 4 12 74:57 57
5 Baunatal 34 16 8 10 65:51 55
6 Pohlheim 34 15 9 10 74:62 54
7 Turk Gucu Friedberg 34 14 7 13 57:59 49
8 Hunfelder 34 15 3 16 68:64 48
9 Hanauer SC 34 14 5 15 49:66 47
10 RW Walldorf 34 13 8 13 90:76 47
11 Darmstadt U21 34 13 6 15 75:69 45
12 VfB Marburg 34 13 6 15 47:58 45
13 Fernwald 34 11 9 14 59:54 42
14 Hummetroth 34 13 5 16 64:64 41
15 CSC 03 Kassel 34 10 9 15 63:82 39
16 Waldgirmes 34 9 6 19 47:69 33
17 Weidenhausen 34 5 7 22 44:92 22
18 Hanau 34 3 7 24 32:93 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Relegation)