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Stadium Background

Fernwald vs Hummetroth

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 game between Fernwald and Hummetroth finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fernwald.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Fernwald
30%
Draws
12%
Hummetroth
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fernwald

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fernwald come out ahead of Hummetroth on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fernwald a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Fernwald Clean Sheet 10%
Hummetroth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fernwald Hummetroth
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 2
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.67 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Hummetroth
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Hummetroth vs Fernwald
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fernwald 56 / 100
Hummetroth 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fernwald Hummetroth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fernwald Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fernwald scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Hummetroth conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Fernwald stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fernwald VS Hummetroth
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Fernwald

(Home)
15 Aug
Fernwald
1 : 3
Hunfelder
12 Aug
Fernwald
1 : 1
Pohlheim
08 Aug
Alzenau
1 : 1
Fernwald
31 Jul
Fernwald
2 : 0
Stadtallendorf
04 Jul
Fernwald
0 : 6
Siegen
Page 1 of 6

Hummetroth

(Away)
15 Aug
Hummetroth
0 : 5
Stadtallendorf
12 Aug
Hummetroth
1 : 2
Unter-Flockenbach
09 Aug
Pohlheim
3 : 1
Hummetroth
01 Aug
Hummetroth
2 : 4
Turk Gucu Friedberg
30 May
Hummetroth
2 : 2
Turk Gucu Friedberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Frankfurt II 34 29 3 2 100:34 90
2 Eddersheim 34 19 7 8 75:50 64
3 Stadtallendorf 34 16 11 7 57:40 59
4 Giessen 34 18 4 12 74:57 57
5 Baunatal 34 16 8 10 65:51 55
6 Pohlheim 34 15 9 10 74:62 54
7 Turk Gucu Friedberg 34 14 7 13 57:59 49
8 Hunfelder 34 15 3 16 68:64 48
9 Hanauer SC 34 14 5 15 49:66 47
10 RW Walldorf 34 13 8 13 90:76 47
11 Darmstadt U21 34 13 6 15 75:69 45
12 VfB Marburg 34 13 6 15 47:58 45
13 Fernwald 34 11 9 14 59:54 42
14 Hummetroth 34 13 5 16 64:64 41
15 CSC 03 Kassel 34 10 9 15 63:82 39
16 Waldgirmes 34 9 6 19 47:69 33
17 Weidenhausen 34 5 7 22 44:92 22
18 Hanau 34 3 7 24 32:93 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Relegation)