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Fernwald vs Jugesheim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2013/2014 game between Fernwald and Jugesheim finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jugesheim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Fernwald
35%
Draws
41%
Jugesheim
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jugesheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Jugesheim carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Fernwald Clean Sheet 14%
Jugesheim Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fernwald Jugesheim
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 10 17
Draws 14 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.54 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2014 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Jugesheim
1:3
Aug 10, 2013 Oberliga Hessen
Jugesheim vs Fernwald
2:0
Mar 23, 2013 Oberliga Hessen
Jugesheim vs Fernwald
2:0
Sep 15, 2012 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Jugesheim
0:0
Dec 10, 2011 Oberliga Hessen
Jugesheim vs Fernwald
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fernwald 31 / 100
Jugesheim 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fernwald Jugesheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jugesheim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fernwald found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (35 games).

Jugesheim's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Fernwald went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fernwald VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fernwald

(Home)
03 Oct
Fernwald
2 : 2
RW Walldorf
26 Sept
Hummetroth
2 : 2
Fernwald
19 Sept
Fernwald
0 : 0
Eddersheim
12 Sept
Giessen
4 : 3
Fernwald
09 Sept
Pohlheim
1 : 1
Fernwald
Page 1 of 7

Jugesheim

(Away)
24 May
Jugesheim
2 : 1
Viktoria Griesheim
17 May
Jugesheim
2 : 2
Wehen II
10 May
Stadtallendorf
1 : 0
Jugesheim
03 May
Jugesheim
0 : 1
SV Wiesbaden
30 Apr
Jugesheim
2 : 1
Hadamar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jugesheim 36 21 8 7 70:38 71
2 Vellmar 36 19 7 10 79:57 64
3 1. FC Eschborn 36 17 9 10 68:51 60
4 Fulda-Lehnerz 36 15 12 9 62:47 57
5 FSV Frankfurt II 36 15 11 10 86:61 56
6 Hadamar 36 15 10 11 64:47 55
7 Wehen II 36 15 9 12 62:60 54
8 Sportfreunde Seligenstadt 36 14 11 11 60:55 53
9 SV Wiesbaden 36 13 11 12 68:62 50
10 Fernwald 36 13 9 14 53:58 48
11 Stadtallendorf 36 12 11 13 52:66 47
12 Lohfelden 36 12 10 14 58:72 46
13 SKV Darmstadt 36 13 6 17 56:64 45
14 Alzenau 36 11 12 13 47:54 44
15 Flieden 36 11 9 16 74:81 42
16 Viktoria Griesheim 36 10 12 14 52:65 42
17 Ederbergland 36 12 4 20 57:81 40
18 Kickers Offenbach II 36 9 8 19 52:70 35
19 Hunfelder 36 7 7 22 51:82 28
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2014/2015 (Main)