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Fernwald vs Siegen

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Willms D.
26' Event
Guler S.
33' Event
Dacaj E.

AI Match Summary

Siegen in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Siegen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Fernwald
35%
Draws
38%
Siegen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Siegen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Siegen lately — more wins on the board than Fernwald.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Siegen have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Fernwald Clean Sheet 16%
Siegen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fernwald Siegen
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.54 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Fernwald vs Siegen
0:6
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Fernwald vs Siegen
3:0
Aug 29, 2020 Club Friendly
Fernwald vs Siegen
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fernwald Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Siegen Compare

Top Goalscorer Guler S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Willms D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fernwald 36 / 100
Siegen 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fernwald Siegen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siegen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fernwald scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Siegen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Fernwald remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fernwald VS Siegen
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fernwald

(Home)
12 Sept
Giessen
4 : 3
Fernwald
09 Sept
Pohlheim
1 : 1
Fernwald
05 Sept
VfB Marburg
0 : 2
Fernwald
28 Aug
Fernwald
3 : 3
Hanauer SC
23 Aug
Kassel 2
1 : 2
Fernwald
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Siegen

(Away)
18 Sept
Siegen
2 : 1
SG Wattenscheid
12 Sept
Siegen
3 : 3
Bonner
05 Sept
Bocholt
1 : 3
Siegen
02 Sept
Siegen
2 : 2
Paderborn II
28 Aug
Rodinghausen
1 : 2
Siegen
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