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Fernwald vs Turk Gucu Friedberg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 game between Fernwald and Turk Gucu Friedberg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Fernwald
35%
Draws
41%
Turk Gucu Friedberg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Turk Gucu Friedberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Turk Gucu Friedberg come out ahead of Fernwald on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Turk Gucu Friedberg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Fernwald Clean Sheet 10%
Turk Gucu Friedberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fernwald Turk Gucu Friedberg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 13 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Turk Gucu Friedberg
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Turk Gucu Friedberg vs Fernwald
2:1
Apr 1, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Turk Gucu Friedberg vs Fernwald
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Turk Gucu Friedberg
1:1
May 17, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Turk Gucu Friedberg vs Fernwald
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fernwald 26 / 100
Turk Gucu Friedberg 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fernwald Turk Gucu Friedberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turk Gucu Friedberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fernwald's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Turk Gucu Friedberg has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Fernwald stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fernwald VS Turk Gucu Friedberg
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fernwald

(Home)
03 Oct
Fernwald
2 : 2
RW Walldorf
26 Sept
Hummetroth
2 : 2
Fernwald
19 Sept
Fernwald
0 : 0
Eddersheim
12 Sept
Giessen
4 : 3
Fernwald
09 Sept
Pohlheim
1 : 1
Fernwald
Page 1 of 6

Turk Gucu Friedberg

(Away)
02 Oct
Stadtallendorf
2 : 1
Turk Gucu Friedberg
26 Sept
Turk Gucu Friedberg
2 : 0
Pohlheim
19 Sept
Turk Gucu Friedberg
5 : 0
Giessen
12 Sept
Unter-Flockenbach
4 : 2
Turk Gucu Friedberg
08 Sept
Turk Gucu Friedberg
3 : 3
Eddersheim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Frankfurt II 34 29 3 2 100:34 90
2 Eddersheim 34 19 7 8 75:50 64
3 Stadtallendorf 34 16 11 7 57:40 59
4 Giessen 34 18 4 12 74:57 57
5 Baunatal 34 16 8 10 65:51 55
6 Pohlheim 34 15 9 10 74:62 54
7 Turk Gucu Friedberg 34 14 7 13 57:59 49
8 Hunfelder 34 15 3 16 68:64 48
9 Hanauer SC 34 14 5 15 49:66 47
10 RW Walldorf 34 13 8 13 90:76 47
11 Darmstadt U21 34 13 6 15 75:69 45
12 VfB Marburg 34 13 6 15 47:58 45
13 Fernwald 34 11 9 14 59:54 42
14 Hummetroth 34 13 5 16 64:64 41
15 CSC 03 Kassel 34 10 9 15 63:82 39
16 Waldgirmes 34 9 6 19 47:69 33
17 Weidenhausen 34 5 7 22 44:92 22
18 Hanau 34 3 7 24 32:93 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Relegation)