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Stadium Background

Ferrandina vs Barletta

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Mateus Castro
69' Event
Malcore G.

AI Match Summary

Barletta in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barletta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ferrandina
20%
Draws
51%
Barletta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barletta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / High Confidence
  • Barletta have won more games recently than Ferrandina.
  • Barletta are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Ferrandina Clean Sheet 10%
Barletta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferrandina Barletta
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 21
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 0.57 2
Goals Conceded 1.86 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.57 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.86 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Ferrandina vs Barletta
0:2
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Barletta vs Ferrandina
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferrandina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.44
Avg xA / game 0.28

Barletta Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateus Castro
1 Goals
Assists Leader Malcore G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferrandina 22 / 100
Barletta 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferrandina Barletta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Ferrandina found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Barletta let in goals in 36% of their last 33 matches.

Ferrandina went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferrandina VS Barletta
0.57 Goals Scored 2
1.86 Goals Conceded 0.88
71% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferrandina

(Home)
03 May
Heraclea
2 : 1
Ferrandina
26 Apr
Ferrandina
1 : 0
A.C.D. Nardo
19 Apr
SS Nola 1925
0 : 0
Ferrandina
12 Apr
Ferrandina
0 : 5
Gravina
02 Apr
Citta di Fasano
2 : 0
Ferrandina
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Barletta

(Away)
30 May
Vado
2 : 0
Barletta
24 May
Barletta
2 : 1
Vado
17 May
Scafatese
1 : 1
Barletta
10 May
Barletta
2 : 1
A.C. Savoia
03 May
A.C.D. Nardo
1 : 0
Barletta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)