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Ferreiras vs Fabril do Barreiro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ferreiras
30%
Draws
70%
Fabril do Barreiro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fabril do Barreiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Fabril do Barreiro have won more games recently than Ferreiras.
  • Model gives Fabril do Barreiro a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Ferreiras Clean Sheet 10%
Fabril do Barreiro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferreiras Fabril do Barreiro
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 8
Draws 7 12
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.67 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Ferreiras vs Fabril do Barreiro
1:1
Nov 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Fabril do Barreiro vs Ferreiras
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferreiras 10 / 100
Fabril do Barreiro 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferreiras Fabril do Barreiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fabril do Barreiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fabril do Barreiro has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ferreiras scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ferreiras VS Fabril do Barreiro
0 Goals Scored 0.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferreiras

(Home)
30 Aug
Ferreiras
0 : 3
Aljustrelense
22 Sept
Varzim
3 : 0
Ferreiras
16 Apr
Ferreiras
1 : 2
Atletico CP
08 Apr
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
3 : 1
Ferreiras
02 Apr
Serpa
2 : 1
Ferreiras
Page 1 of 6

Fabril do Barreiro

(Away)
13 Apr
Fabril do Barreiro
2 : 1
Louletano
06 Apr
Industria
2 : 2
Fabril do Barreiro
29 Mar
Fabril do Barreiro
0 : 0
Moncarapachense
16 Mar
Estrela Vendas Novas
1 : 4
Fabril do Barreiro
09 Mar
Fabril do Barreiro
1 : 1
FC Barreirense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico CP 26 15 7 4 43:22 52
2 Lusitano GC 26 15 6 5 35:22 51
3 Juv. Evora 26 13 7 6 37:16 46
4 CD Rabo Peixe 26 13 6 7 33:19 45
5 Imortal 26 9 12 5 31:22 39
6 Fabril do Barreiro 26 11 6 9 31:26 39
7 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 10 9 7 37:33 39
8 Serpa 26 10 6 10 44:36 36
9 Oriental Dragon 26 10 6 10 35:36 36
10 SC Praiense 26 9 7 10 31:32 34
11 Esperanca de Lagos 26 7 10 9 28:38 31
12 SC Angrense 26 4 5 17 17:46 17
13 Olhanense 26 5 2 19 18:50 17
14 Ferreiras 26 3 7 16 17:39 16
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)