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Ferreiras vs Oriental Dragon

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oriental Dragon in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oriental Dragon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ferreiras
20%
Draws
80%
Oriental Dragon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oriental Dragon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Oriental Dragon have won more games recently than Ferreiras.
  • Oriental Dragon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Ferreiras Clean Sheet 13%
Oriental Dragon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferreiras Oriental Dragon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.67 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Ferreiras vs Oriental Dragon
1:2
Dec 4, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oriental Dragon vs Ferreiras
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferreiras 10 / 100
Oriental Dragon 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferreiras Oriental Dragon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oriental Dragon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oriental Dragon has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Ferreiras scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ferreiras VS Oriental Dragon
0.63 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferreiras

(Home)
30 Aug
Ferreiras
0 : 3
Aljustrelense
22 Sept
Varzim
3 : 0
Ferreiras
16 Apr
Ferreiras
1 : 2
Atletico CP
08 Apr
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
3 : 1
Ferreiras
02 Apr
Serpa
2 : 1
Ferreiras
Page 1 of 6

Oriental Dragon

(Away)
19 Apr
Imortal
2 : 2
Oriental Dragon
08 Apr
Oriental Dragon
2 : 1
SC Praiense
02 Apr
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
3 : 3
Oriental Dragon
19 Mar
Ferreiras
1 : 2
Oriental Dragon
12 Mar
Oriental Dragon
1 : 0
Olhanense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico CP 26 15 7 4 43:22 52
2 Lusitano GC 26 15 6 5 35:22 51
3 Juv. Evora 26 13 7 6 37:16 46
4 CD Rabo Peixe 26 13 6 7 33:19 45
5 Imortal 26 9 12 5 31:22 39
6 Fabril do Barreiro 26 11 6 9 31:26 39
7 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 10 9 7 37:33 39
8 Serpa 26 10 6 10 44:36 36
9 Oriental Dragon 26 10 6 10 35:36 36
10 SC Praiense 26 9 7 10 31:32 34
11 Esperanca de Lagos 26 7 10 9 28:38 31
12 SC Angrense 26 4 5 17 17:46 17
13 Olhanense 26 5 2 19 18:50 17
14 Ferreiras 26 3 7 16 17:39 16
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)