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Ferriolense vs Genova

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between Ferriolense and Genova finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferriolense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ferriolense
20%
Draws
50%
Genova
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Genova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Genova haven't matched Ferriolense's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Ferriolense Clean Sheet 68%
Genova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferriolense Genova
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 5 9
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 0.97 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Genova
1:0
Oct 31, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Genova vs Ferriolense
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferriolense 41 / 100
Genova 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferriolense Genova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferriolense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Genova conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ferriolense scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Ferriolense stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferriolense VS Genova
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferriolense

(Home)
19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1
Ferriolense
12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1
Binissalem
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4
Ferriolense
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4
Llosetense
22 May
Alcudia
2 : 1
Ferriolense
Page 1 of 6

Genova

(Away)
20 Jun
Alcudia
2 : 0
Genova
12 Jun
Genova
2 : 1
Santa Catalina Atletico
05 Jun
Binissalem
2 : 2
Genova
29 May
Genova
1 : 1
Esporles
23 May
Llosetense
3 : 1
Genova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ibiza 20 13 5 2 38:11 44
2 Andratx 20 14 2 4 35:17 44
3 Constancia 20 10 5 5 24:14 35
4 Manacor 20 9 7 4 26:20 34
5 Portmany 20 9 3 8 29:26 30
6 Collerense 20 8 5 7 28:26 29
7 Soller 20 6 5 9 21:36 23
8 Cardassar 20 5 7 8 20:28 22
9 Felanitx 20 5 4 11 29:32 19
10 Ferriolense 20 3 4 13 14:32 13
11 Genova 20 2 5 13 19:41 11
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Platges de Calvia 20 13 6 1 31:13 45
2 PE Sant Jordi 20 12 5 3 33:17 41
3 Formentera 20 12 3 5 36:20 39
4 Mallorca B 20 11 5 4 34:10 38
5 Santanyi 20 11 2 7 23:12 35
6 El Espinar Sant Rafel 20 5 7 8 25:24 22
7 Llosetense 20 6 4 10 17:28 22
8 Alcudia 20 5 6 9 17:32 21
9 Santa Catalina Atletico 20 4 5 11 12:30 17
10 Binissalem 20 2 9 9 17:24 15
11 Esporles 20 1 4 15 15:50 7
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)