Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferro 2 vs Atl. Rafaela 2

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Uriel P.
32' Event
44' Event
Flores S.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League game between Ferro 2 and Atl. Rafaela 2 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferro 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Ferro 2
30%
Draws
64%
Atl. Rafaela 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atl. Rafaela 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ferro 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Atl. Rafaela 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Ferro 2 Clean Sheet 14%
Atl. Rafaela 2 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferro 2 Atl. Rafaela 2
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Reserve League
Ferro 2 vs Atl. Rafaela 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferro 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Uriel P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flores S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Atl. Rafaela 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferro 2 10 / 100
Atl. Rafaela 2 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferro 2 Atl. Rafaela 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Rafaela 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferro 2 found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Atl. Rafaela 2 let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Ferro 2 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferro 2 VS Atl. Rafaela 2
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferro 2

(Home)
16 Sept
Ferro 2
1 : 1
Platense 2
08 Sept
Quilmes 2
2 : 1
Ferro 2
02 Sept
Ferro 2
0 : 1
Estudiantes L.P. 2
27 Aug
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
2 : 1
Ferro 2
19 Aug
Ferro 2
0 : 5
San Martin S.J. 2
Page 1 of 6

Atl. Rafaela 2

(Away)
17 Sept
Boca Juniors 2
0 : 0
Atl. Rafaela 2
08 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
2 : 1
Independiente 2
01 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
2 : 1
Colon Santa Fe 2
26 Aug
Platense 2
1 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
19 Aug
Atl. Rafaela 2
1 : 0
Quilmes 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 18 14 2 2 40:11 44
2 River Plate 2 18 9 4 5 24:17 31
3 Racing Club 2 18 8 6 4 27:23 30
4 Atl. Tucuman 2 18 9 3 6 26:25 30
5 Union de Santa Fe 2 18 7 8 3 23:19 29
6 Argentinos Jrs 2 18 7 7 4 24:18 28
7 Talleres Cordoba 2 18 7 5 6 27:21 26
8 Rosario Central 2 18 7 5 6 25:22 26
9 Instituto 2 18 5 9 4 20:21 24
10 San Lorenzo 2 18 6 6 6 22:24 24
11 Gimnasia L.P. 2 18 6 5 7 19:17 23
12 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 18 6 5 7 16:19 23
13 Banfield 2 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
14 Aldosivi 2 18 5 3 10 17:28 18
15 Barracas Central 2 18 4 5 9 11:24 17
16 Sarmiento Junin 2 18 4 4 10 16:26 16
17 Tigre 2 18 4 4 10 15:25 16
18 Godoy Cruz 2 18 4 3 11 20:30 15
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Juniors 2 18 11 3 4 33:11 36
2 Independiente 2 18 11 3 4 36:16 36
3 Lanus 2 18 11 2 5 39:24 35
4 Newells Old Boys 2 18 10 4 4 26:16 34
5 Quilmes 2 18 10 3 5 20:12 33
6 Defensa y Justicia 2 18 9 5 4 38:24 32
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 18 8 4 6 25:16 28
8 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 18 8 3 7 27:29 27
9 Huracan 2 18 7 5 6 23:17 26
10 Platense 2 18 7 5 6 17:20 26
11 Deportivo Riestra 2 18 7 4 7 25:18 25
12 Ind. Rivadavia 2 18 7 3 8 23:23 24
13 Ferro 2 18 6 4 8 20:23 22
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 18 5 4 9 21:33 19
15 Colon Santa Fe 2 18 5 3 10 15:23 18
16 Atl. Rafaela 2 18 3 3 12 21:36 12
17 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 18 2 5 11 9:32 11
18 San Martin S.J. 2 18 2 2 14 16:59 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)