Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferro 2 vs Lanus 2

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Mon, Jul 13, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferro 2 play Lanus 2 in the Reserve League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ferro 2 averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Lanus 2 averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Ferro 2 won 1, Lanus 2 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 4, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Ferro 2 and 1.88 for Lanus 2. This points to a Lanus 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ferro 2
17%
Draws
49%
Lanus 2
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Lanus 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Ferro 2 picked up more points recently compared to Lanus 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Ferro 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Lanus 2 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferro 2 Lanus 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Reserve League
Lanus 2 vs Ferro 2
2:0
Oct 15, 2025 Reserve League
Ferro 2 vs Lanus 2
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferro 2 33 / 100
Lanus 2 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferro 2 Lanus 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lanus 2 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ferro 2 attacking → ← attacking Lanus 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferro 2 scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Lanus 2 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Ferro 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Lanus 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 51
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75