Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferro 2 vs Lanus 2

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
44' Event
Aguirre G.
51' Event

AI Match Summary

Ferro 2 in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferro 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ferro 2
15%
Draws
85%
Lanus 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lanus 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lanus 2 lately — more wins on the board than Ferro 2.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Lanus 2 taking it.
  • Regular Reserve League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ferro 2 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ferro 2 Clean Sheet 13%
Lanus 2 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferro 2 Lanus 2
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 Reserve League
Ferro 2 vs Lanus 2
2:1
Feb 4, 2026 Reserve League
Lanus 2 vs Ferro 2
2:0
Oct 15, 2025 Reserve League
Ferro 2 vs Lanus 2
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferro 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Lanus 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguirre G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferro 2 10 / 100
Lanus 2 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferro 2 Lanus 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lanus 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Ferro 2 scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Lanus 2 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Lanus 2 registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferro 2 VS Lanus 2
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferro 2

(Home)
08 Sept
Quilmes 2
2 : 1
Ferro 2
02 Sept
Ferro 2
0 : 1
Estudiantes L.P. 2
27 Aug
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
2 : 1
Ferro 2
19 Aug
Ferro 2
0 : 5
San Martin S.J. 2
13 Aug
Ind. Rivadavia 2
2 : 1
Ferro 2
Page 1 of 6

Lanus 2

(Away)
10 Sept
Deportivo Riestra 2
4 : 1
Lanus 2
01 Sept
Lanus 2
3 : 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2
26 Aug
Colon Santa Fe 2
0 : 2
Lanus 2
18 Aug
Newells Old Boys 2
1 : 2
Lanus 2
12 Aug
Lanus 2
3 : 1
Defensa y Justicia 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 2 8 4 4 0 15:6 16
2 Sarmiento Junin 2 8 3 5 0 8:4 14
3 Instituto 2 8 3 4 1 11:8 13
4 Talleres Cordoba 2 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
5 Rosario Central 2 8 3 4 1 12:11 13
6 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 8 4 0 4 11:11 12
7 San Lorenzo 2 8 3 2 3 9:5 11
8 Tigre 2 8 3 2 3 11:11 11
9 Gimnasia L.P. 2 8 2 4 2 6:4 10
10 Velez Sarsfield 2 8 2 4 2 5:3 10
11 Union de Santa Fe 2 8 1 7 0 6:5 10
12 Godoy Cruz 2 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
13 Racing Club 2 8 1 5 2 13:14 8
14 Aldosivi 2 8 1 5 2 7:9 8
15 Banfield 2 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
16 Atl. Tucuman 2 8 2 2 4 5:11 8
17 Argentinos Jrs 2 8 1 3 4 4:10 6
18 Barracas Central 2 8 0 3 5 5:15 3
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 8 5 2 1 20:7 17
2 Estudiantes L.P. 2 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
3 Boca Juniors 2 8 5 2 1 12:4 17
4 Lanus 2 8 5 1 2 13:9 16
5 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 8 4 3 1 7:4 15
6 Atl. Rafaela 2 8 4 3 1 10:8 15
7 Deportivo Riestra 2 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
8 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 8 4 2 2 10:10 14
9 Quilmes 2 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
10 San Martin S.J. 2 8 2 4 2 7:11 10
11 Defensa y Justicia 2 8 1 5 2 13:12 8
12 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 8 2 2 4 6:12 8
13 Huracan 2 8 2 1 5 9:9 7
14 Ind. Rivadavia 2 8 2 1 5 6:13 7
15 Newells Old Boys 2 8 1 3 4 5:10 6
16 Colon Santa Fe 2 8 1 2 5 6:13 5
17 Platense 2 8 0 4 4 2:9 4
18 Ferro 2 8 1 1 6 6:16 4
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)