Sport Picks
Ferro Carril vs Bella Vista
Uruguay
Copa Uruguay 2023 
Match Events
71'
71'
90'
90'
1'
1'
Sandin J. P.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Ferro Carril advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferro Carril
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ferro Carril haven't matched Bella Vista's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Ferro Carril's way, sitting at 70%.
- Bella Vista arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ferro Carril, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Ferro Carril Clean Sheet 68%
Bella Vista Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferro Carril | Bella Vista |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 6 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.15 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 11, 2023 Copa Uruguay
Ferro Carril vs Bella Vista
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferro Carril 77 / 100
Bella Vista 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferro Carril Bella Vista
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferro Carril Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bella Vista let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Ferro Carril's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 6 recent games.
Ferro Carril has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Away concern: Bella Vista has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ferro Carril VS Bella Vista
1.17 Goals Scored 0.5
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 13%
17% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferro Carril
(Home) 31 Oct
Defensor Sp.
6 : 0 Ferro Carril
22 Oct
Ferro Carril
2 : 1 Melo Wanderers
09 Oct
Ferro Carril
2 : 1 Club Oriental De Futbol
07 Nov
Ferro Carril
0 : 1 CA Cerro
11 Oct
Ferro Carril
1 : 0 Bella Vista
Page 1 of 2
22 Oct
Ferro Carril
2 : 1 Melo Wanderers
09 Oct
Ferro Carril
2 : 1 Club Oriental De Futbol
07 Nov
Ferro Carril
0 : 1 CA Cerro
11 Oct
Ferro Carril
1 : 0 Bella Vista
Bella Vista
(Away) 09 Sept
Bella Vista
1 : 2 Central Esp.
27 Aug
Bella Vista
1 : 0 Juventud
03 Dec
Juventud
3 : 0 Bella Vista
29 Nov
Bella Vista
1 : 1 Atenas
26 Nov
Rampla Juniors
2 : 0 Bella Vista
Page 1 of 6
03 Dec
Juventud
3 : 0 Bella Vista
26 Nov
Rampla Juniors
2 : 0 Bella Vista
15 Nov
Cerrito
2 : 1 Bella Vista
05 Nov
Tacuarembo
3 : 0 Bella Vista
27 Oct
Rentistas
0 : 1 Bella Vista
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Huracan Buceo 1
Ferro Carril 2
TBD -
Bella Vista -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CA Cerro -
Tacuarembo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fenix -
Wanderers Durazno 0
Terremoto 2
TBD -
Miramar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wanderers -
Juventud Colonia 2
Salto FC 1
TBD -
Albion -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
River Plate Montevideo -
Cooper 0
Libertad San Carlos 1
TBD -
Uruguay Montevideo FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plaza Colonia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Defensor Sp. -
Campana 1
Club Atletico Basanez 2
TBD -
Cerrito -
Quilmes 2
Central Esp. 1
TBD -
Rampla Juniors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
La Luz -
Lavalleja (Minas) -
Rocha -
TBD -
Juventud -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Danubio -
Huracan (Treinta y Tres) 0
Lito 1
TBD -
Sud America -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Penarol -
Universitario Salto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston River -
Salus 0
Atletico Juanico 4
TBD -
Atenas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liverpool M. -
Colon 2
Paysandu Bella Vista 1
TBD -
Potencia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Nacional -
Nacional Nueva Helvecia 2
Villa Espanola 1
TBD -
Progreso -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Central San Jose -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maldonado -
Deutscher 0
Sportivo Barracas 1
TBD -
Rentistas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cerro Largo -
Club Oriental De Futbol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Racing Montevideo -
1/32-finals
Ferro Carril 1
Bella Vista 0
TBD -
CA Cerro -
Tacuarembo -
TBD -
TBD -
Fenix -
Terremoto 1
Miramar 2
TBD -
Wanderers -
Juventud Colonia 0
Albion 5
TBD -
River Plate Montevideo -
Libertad San Carlos 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC 2
TBD -
Plaza Colonia -
TBD -
Defensor Sp. -
Club Atletico Basanez 0
Cerrito 1
Quilmes 1
Rampla Juniors 2
TBD -
La Luz -
Lavalleja (Minas) 2
Juventud 1
TBD -
Danubio -
Lito 0
Sud America 2
TBD -
Penarol -
Universitario Salto -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston River -
Atletico Juanico 1
Atenas 2
TBD -
Liverpool M. -
Colon 2
Potencia 3
TBD -
Club Nacional -
Nacional Nueva Helvecia 1
Progreso 2
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Central San Jose -
TBD -
TBD -
Maldonado -
Sportivo Barracas 2
Rentistas 1
TBD -
Cerro Largo -
Club Oriental De Futbol -
TBD -
TBD -
Racing Montevideo -
1/16-finals
Ferro Carril 0
CA Cerro 1
Tacuarembo 1
Fenix 2
Miramar 0
Wanderers 1
Albion 0
River Plate Montevideo 2
Uruguay Montevideo FC 1
Plaza Colonia 2
Defensor Sp. 3
Cerrito 0
Rampla Juniors 2
La Luz 3
Lavalleja (Minas) 1
Danubio 3
Sud America 0
Penarol 3
Universitario Salto 1
Boston River 3
Atenas 2
Liverpool M. 3
Potencia 0
Club Nacional 4
Progreso 1
Montevideo City 2
Central San Jose 0
Maldonado 1
Sportivo Barracas 3
Cerro Largo 2
Club Oriental De Futbol 1
Racing Montevideo 0
1/8-finals
CA Cerro 2
Fenix 1
Wanderers 0
River Plate Montevideo 4
Plaza Colonia 0
Defensor Sp. 1
La Luz 0
Danubio 1
Penarol 2
Boston River 0
Liverpool M. 2
Club Nacional 1
Montevideo City 2
Maldonado 0
Sportivo Barracas 2
Club Oriental De Futbol 1
Quarter-finals
CA Cerro 1
River Plate Montevideo 2
Defensor Sp. 1
Danubio 0
Penarol 3
Liverpool M. 1
Montevideo City 8
Sportivo Barracas 1
Semi-finals
River Plate Montevideo 1
Defensor Sp. 2
Penarol 1
Montevideo City 3
Final
Defensor Sp. 3
Montevideo City 2
