Sport Picks
Ferro Carril vs CA Cerro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Copa Uruguay 2023 
Match Events
1'
1'
(Penalty)
1'
1'
Penalty Missed
2'
2'
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
CA Cerro in this Copa Uruguay 2023 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferro Carril
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to CA Cerro lately — more wins on the board than Ferro Carril.
- 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- CA Cerro arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor CA Cerro, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ferro Carril Clean Sheet 68%
CA Cerro Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferro Carril | CA Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 6 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 10 |
| Draws | 0 | 5 |
| Losses | 2 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 7, 2023 Copa Uruguay
Ferro Carril vs CA Cerro
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferro Carril 41 / 100
CA Cerro 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferro Carril CA Cerro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferro Carril Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ferro Carril found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (6 games).
CA Cerro let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Ferro Carril stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Away concern: CA Cerro has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS CA Cerro
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferro Carril
(Home) 31 Oct
Defensor Sp.
6 : 0 Ferro Carril
22 Oct
Ferro Carril
2 : 1 Melo Wanderers
09 Oct
Ferro Carril
2 : 1 Club Oriental De Futbol
07 Nov
Ferro Carril
0 : 1 CA Cerro
11 Oct
Ferro Carril
1 : 0 Bella Vista
Page 1 of 2
22 Oct
Ferro Carril
2 : 1 Melo Wanderers
09 Oct
Ferro Carril
2 : 1 Club Oriental De Futbol
07 Nov
Ferro Carril
0 : 1 CA Cerro
11 Oct
Ferro Carril
1 : 0 Bella Vista
CA Cerro
(Away) 04 Oct
CA Cerro
0 : 2 Wanderers
27 Sept
Juventud
0 : 0 CA Cerro
23 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 2 Maldonado
19 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 2 Penarol
13 Sept
Progreso
1 : 3 CA Cerro
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Juventud
0 : 0 CA Cerro
13 Sept
Progreso
1 : 3 CA Cerro
01 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 CA Cerro
29 Aug
Boston River
1 : 1 CA Cerro
21 Aug
Liverpool M.
4 : 0 CA Cerro
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Huracan Buceo 1
Ferro Carril 2
TBD -
Bella Vista -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CA Cerro -
Tacuarembo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fenix -
Wanderers Durazno 0
Terremoto 2
TBD -
Miramar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wanderers -
Juventud Colonia 2
Salto FC 1
TBD -
Albion -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
River Plate Montevideo -
Cooper 0
Libertad San Carlos 1
TBD -
Uruguay Montevideo FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plaza Colonia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Defensor Sp. -
Campana 1
Club Atletico Basanez 2
TBD -
Cerrito -
Quilmes 2
Central Esp. 1
TBD -
Rampla Juniors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
La Luz -
Lavalleja (Minas) -
Rocha -
TBD -
Juventud -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Danubio -
Huracan (Treinta y Tres) 0
Lito 1
TBD -
Sud America -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Penarol -
Universitario Salto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston River -
Salus 0
Atletico Juanico 4
TBD -
Atenas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liverpool M. -
Colon 2
Paysandu Bella Vista 1
TBD -
Potencia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Nacional -
Nacional Nueva Helvecia 2
Villa Espanola 1
TBD -
Progreso -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Central San Jose -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maldonado -
Deutscher 0
Sportivo Barracas 1
TBD -
Rentistas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cerro Largo -
Club Oriental De Futbol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Racing Montevideo -
1/32-finals
Ferro Carril 1
Bella Vista 0
TBD -
CA Cerro -
Tacuarembo -
TBD -
TBD -
Fenix -
Terremoto 1
Miramar 2
TBD -
Wanderers -
Juventud Colonia 0
Albion 5
TBD -
River Plate Montevideo -
Libertad San Carlos 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC 2
TBD -
Plaza Colonia -
TBD -
Defensor Sp. -
Club Atletico Basanez 0
Cerrito 1
Quilmes 1
Rampla Juniors 2
TBD -
La Luz -
Lavalleja (Minas) 2
Juventud 1
TBD -
Danubio -
Lito 0
Sud America 2
TBD -
Penarol -
Universitario Salto -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston River -
Atletico Juanico 1
Atenas 2
TBD -
Liverpool M. -
Colon 2
Potencia 3
TBD -
Club Nacional -
Nacional Nueva Helvecia 1
Progreso 2
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Central San Jose -
TBD -
TBD -
Maldonado -
Sportivo Barracas 2
Rentistas 1
TBD -
Cerro Largo -
Club Oriental De Futbol -
TBD -
TBD -
Racing Montevideo -
1/16-finals
Ferro Carril 0
CA Cerro 1
Tacuarembo 1
Fenix 2
Miramar 0
Wanderers 1
Albion 0
River Plate Montevideo 2
Uruguay Montevideo FC 1
Plaza Colonia 2
Defensor Sp. 3
Cerrito 0
Rampla Juniors 2
La Luz 3
Lavalleja (Minas) 1
Danubio 3
Sud America 0
Penarol 3
Universitario Salto 1
Boston River 3
Atenas 2
Liverpool M. 3
Potencia 0
Club Nacional 4
Progreso 1
Montevideo City 2
Central San Jose 0
Maldonado 1
Sportivo Barracas 3
Cerro Largo 2
Club Oriental De Futbol 1
Racing Montevideo 0
1/8-finals
CA Cerro 2
Fenix 1
Wanderers 0
River Plate Montevideo 4
Plaza Colonia 0
Defensor Sp. 1
La Luz 0
Danubio 1
Penarol 2
Boston River 0
Liverpool M. 2
Club Nacional 1
Montevideo City 2
Maldonado 0
Sportivo Barracas 2
Club Oriental De Futbol 1
Quarter-finals
CA Cerro 1
River Plate Montevideo 2
Defensor Sp. 1
Danubio 0
Penarol 3
Liverpool M. 1
Montevideo City 8
Sportivo Barracas 1
Semi-finals
River Plate Montevideo 1
Defensor Sp. 2
Penarol 1
Montevideo City 3
Final
Defensor Sp. 3
Montevideo City 2
