Sport Picks
Ferro Carril vs Melo Wanderers
Uruguay
Copa Uruguay 2024 
Match Events
22'
22'
Machado D.
50'
50'
Blanco E.
1'
1'
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Ferro Carril in this Copa Uruguay 2024 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
25%
35%
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Ferro Carril
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
25%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ferro Carril lately — more wins on the board than Melo Wanderers.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Ferro Carril have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ferro Carril, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Ferro Carril Clean Sheet 20%
Melo Wanderers Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferro Carril | Melo Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 6 | 2 |
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.08 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 22, 2024 Copa Uruguay
Ferro Carril vs Melo Wanderers
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ferro Carril Compare
Top Goalscorer Blanco E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.54
Melo Wanderers Compare
Top Goalscorer Machado D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.6
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferro Carril 32 / 100
Melo Wanderers 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferro Carril Melo Wanderers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Melo Wanderers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 1 matches.
Ferro Carril scored in 67% of their last 6 games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Ferro Carril remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ferro Carril VS Melo Wanderers
1.17 Goals Scored 0.5
1.67 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferro Carril
(Home) 31 Oct
Defensor Sp.
6 : 0 Ferro Carril
22 Oct
Ferro Carril
2 : 1 Melo Wanderers
09 Oct
Ferro Carril
2 : 1 Club Oriental De Futbol
07 Nov
Ferro Carril
0 : 1 CA Cerro
11 Oct
Ferro Carril
1 : 0 Bella Vista
Page 1 of 2
22 Oct
Ferro Carril
2 : 1 Melo Wanderers
09 Oct
Ferro Carril
2 : 1 Club Oriental De Futbol
07 Nov
Ferro Carril
0 : 1 CA Cerro
11 Oct
Ferro Carril
1 : 0 Bella Vista
Melo Wanderers
(Away) 22 Oct
Ferro Carril
2 : 1 Melo Wanderers
18 Sept
Melo Wanderers
: Cerro Largo
22 Oct
Ferro Carril
2 : 1 Melo Wanderers
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Frontera Rivera 1
Club Nacional 5
Durazno 2
Uruguay Montevideo FC 1
Litoral Paysandu 1
Plaza Colonia 3
Piriapolis -
Penarol -
Paso de la Arena 0
Montevideo City 2
Rio Negro SJ -
Danubio -
18 de Julio FB -
CA Cerro -
Rincon -
Progreso -
Deportivo Colonia 1
Juventud 2
San Carlos 0
Albion 2
Villa Espanola -
Wanderers -
Atletico Juanico 0
Boston River 2
Paysandu Bella Vista 0
Defensor Sp. 3
Bristol 1
Racing Montevideo 2
Ferro Carril 2
Club Oriental De Futbol 1
Melo Wanderers -
Cerro Largo -
1/8-finals
Club Nacional 4
Durazno 0
Plaza Colonia 1
Piriapolis 0
Montevideo City 5
Rio Negro SJ 1
18 de Julio FB 3
Rincon 2
Juventud 0
Albion 2
Villa Espanola 0
Boston River 2
Defensor Sp. 1
Racing Montevideo 0
Ferro Carril 2
Melo Wanderers 1
Quarter-finals
Club Nacional 4
Plaza Colonia 0
Montevideo City 4
18 de Julio FB 0
Albion 0
Boston River 2
Defensor Sp. 6
Ferro Carril 0
Semi-finals
Club Nacional 4
Montevideo City 0
Boston River 0
Defensor Sp. 1
Final
Club Nacional 2
Defensor Sp. 3
