Sport Picks
Ferro vs Almirante Brown
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
11'
11'
Cabral G.
(Penalty)
46'
46'
Sub
Almada T. In: Villoldo T.
Out: Almada T.
47'
47'
Nazareno K.
AI Match Summary
Almirante Brown in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almirante Brown.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
35%
31%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Ferro have won more games recently than Almirante Brown.
- Win probability leans Ferro's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Ferro Clean Sheet 68%
Almirante Brown Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferro | Almirante Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 0.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Ferro
0:0
Apr 28, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Almirante Brown
0:1
Nov 11, 2023 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Ferro
0:0
Nov 5, 2023 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Almirante Brown
1:1
Aug 16, 2022 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Almirante Brown
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferro 50 / 100
Almirante Brown 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferro Almirante Brown
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Ferro remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Ferro's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Almirante Brown's defensive record shows goals conceded in 38% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 0.80 goals.
Scoring Trends
Ferro VS Almirante Brown
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferro
(Home) 13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0 Ferro
04 Sept
Ferro
0 : 0 CA Mitre
30 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 2 Ferro
24 Aug
Ferro
1 : 0 All Boys
15 Aug
Ferro
3 : 1 Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Ferro
0 : 0 CA Mitre
24 Aug
Ferro
1 : 0 All Boys
15 Aug
Ferro
3 : 1 Atletico Atlanta
01 Aug
Ferro
1 : 3 Godoy Cruz
17 Jul
Ferro
2 : 0 Colon Santa Fe
Page 1 of 3
Almirante Brown
(Away) 13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0 Ferro
06 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 0 Almirante Brown
30 Aug
Almirante Brown
1 : 0 Deportivo Madryn
22 Aug
Defensores de Belgrano
0 : 2 Almirante Brown
16 Aug
Tristan Suarez
3 : 1 Almirante Brown
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 0 Almirante Brown
22 Aug
Defensores de Belgrano
0 : 2 Almirante Brown
16 Aug
Tristan Suarez
3 : 1 Almirante Brown
26 Jul
CA Mitre
0 : 0 Almirante Brown
11 Jul
All Boys
1 : 1 Almirante Brown
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Moron | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 47:27 | 55 |
| 2 | Ferro | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 34:25 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 36:25 | 49 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 42:28 | 46 |
| 5 | Almirante Brown | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 23:16 | 46 |
| 6 | Colon Santa Fe | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 35:25 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 26:25 | 39 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 24:26 | 39 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 22:17 | 37 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 26:34 | 35 |
| 11 | Chaco For Ever | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 26:29 | 33 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 22:26 | 33 |
| 13 | CA Mitre | 29 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 27:35 | 32 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 19:27 | 31 |
| 15 | All Boys | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 16:25 | 31 |
| 16 | San Telmo | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 23:33 | 31 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 23:33 | 30 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 19:34 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 31:15 | 53 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 44:35 | 52 |
| 3 | Temperley | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 33:23 | 50 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 34:28 | 48 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 31:26 | 45 |
| 6 | Midland | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J. | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 31:27 | 42 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36:30 | 40 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 29:28 | 40 |
| 10 | San Martin T. | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 30:26 | 39 |
| 11 | Atl. Rafaela | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 21:24 | 39 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28:24 | 35 |
| 13 | Almagro | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 25:33 | 35 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 25:34 | 33 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 21:28 | 32 |
| 16 | Patronato | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | 23:30 | 30 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19:31 | 27 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 23:49 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
