Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferro vs CA Estudiantes

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry, Buenos Aires
Ferro Logo

Ferro

0 - 1
FT
CA Estudiantes Logo

CA Estudiantes

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Rostagno D.
17'
Zubowicz M.
46'
Sub
Zubowicz M. In: Corda S.
Out: Zubowicz M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CA Estudiantes in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Estudiantes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ferro
30%
Draws
19%
CA Estudiantes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ferro lately — more wins on the board than CA Estudiantes.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Ferro taking it.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Ferro Clean Sheet 68%
CA Estudiantes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferro CA Estudiantes
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.21 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs Ferro
2:2
Apr 12, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs CA Estudiantes
0:1
Jun 23, 2024 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs CA Estudiantes
2:2
Feb 3, 2024 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs Ferro
1:0
Jul 9, 2023 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs Ferro
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

CA Estudiantes Compare

Top Goalscorer Rostagno D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferro 59 / 100
CA Estudiantes 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferro CA Estudiantes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Ferro stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ferro's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: CA Estudiantes conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ferro VS CA Estudiantes
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferro

(Home)
04 Sept
Ferro
0 : 0
CA Mitre
30 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 2
Ferro
24 Aug
Ferro
1 : 0
All Boys
15 Aug
Ferro
3 : 1
Atletico Atlanta
09 Aug
Los Andes
1 : 2
Ferro
Page 1 of 6

CA Estudiantes

(Away)
06 Sept
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0
CA Estudiantes
30 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 2
Ferro
23 Aug
Central Norte
2 : 1
CA Estudiantes
15 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
08 Aug
CA Estudiantes
0 : 1
Deportivo Madryn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 28 16 6 6 34:25 54
2 Deportivo Moron 28 15 7 6 45:26 52
3 Deportivo Madryn 28 12 10 6 41:26 46
4 Godoy Cruz 28 13 7 8 34:25 46
5 Colon Santa Fe 28 12 9 7 35:23 45
6 Almirante Brown 28 12 9 7 23:16 45
7 Ciudad Bolivar 28 9 11 8 24:26 38
8 Los Andes 28 8 12 8 21:16 36
9 CA Estudiantes 28 9 9 10 25:25 36
10 Racing Cordoba 28 9 8 11 25:32 35
11 Chaco For Ever 28 8 8 12 26:29 32
12 CA Mitre 28 6 13 9 27:35 31
13 All Boys 28 6 13 9 16:24 31
14 Defensores de Belgrano 28 6 12 10 20:25 30
15 Central Norte 28 6 12 10 19:27 30
16 San Miguel 28 6 11 11 22:32 29
17 San Telmo 28 6 10 12 22:33 28
18 Acassuso 28 5 8 15 19:33 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 28 14 10 4 31:15 52
2 Temperley 28 13 10 5 33:23 49
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 28 14 7 7 42:34 49
4 Gimnasia y Tiro 29 12 9 8 31:26 45
5 Atletico Atlanta 28 14 3 11 32:28 45
6 Midland 28 11 8 9 31:25 41
7 San Martin S.J. 27 11 8 8 31:26 41
8 Deportivo Maipu 28 11 6 11 34:28 39
9 Atl. Rafaela 28 10 9 9 20:22 39
10 Colegiales 28 10 7 11 28:28 37
11 San Martin T. 28 8 12 8 27:26 36
12 Almagro 28 9 7 12 23:31 34
13 Agropecuario 28 8 9 11 25:31 33
14 Quilmes 28 8 8 12 27:24 32
15 Nueva Chicago 28 8 8 12 21:27 32
16 Patronato 28 5 14 9 23:30 29
17 Chacarita Juniors 28 7 6 15 19:30 27
18 Club Atletico Guemes 28 5 8 15 23:47 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)