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Ferrocarril Palmeiras vs Deportivo Aleman - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2018
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2018 game between Ferrocarril Palmeiras and Deportivo Aleman finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferrocarril Palmeiras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
20%
Draws
40%
Deportivo Aleman
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ferrocarril Palmeiras haven't matched Deportivo Aleman's recent run of results.
  • Ferrocarril Palmeiras are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ferrocarril Palmeiras Clean Sheet 19%
Deportivo Aleman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferrocarril Palmeiras Deportivo Aleman
Matches Played 20 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.45 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.65 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ferrocarril Palmeiras vs Deportivo Aleman
3:1
Sep 13, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Deportivo Aleman vs Ferrocarril Palmeiras
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferrocarril Palmeiras 85 / 100
Deportivo Aleman 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferrocarril Palmeiras Deportivo Aleman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferrocarril Palmeiras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferrocarril Palmeiras found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (20 games).

Deportivo Aleman's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Deportivo Aleman has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Deportivo Aleman
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferrocarril Palmeiras

(Home)
10 Oct
America de Villazon
0 : 1
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
07 Oct
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
0 : 1
Wilstermann Cooperativas
02 Oct
Rosario Central
2 : 1
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
01 Oct
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
1 : 1
America de Villazon
25 Sept
Wilstermann Cooperativas
2 : 1
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
Page 1 of 4

Deportivo Aleman

(Away)
03 Nov
Oruro Royal
5 : 1
Deportivo Aleman
06 Oct
Deportivo Aleman
0 : 3
Oruro Royal
22 Sept
Tiquipaya
2 : 1
Deportivo Aleman
15 Sept
Deportivo Aleman
1 : 0
Alianza Beni
08 Sept
Deportivo Aleman
1 : 1
Moto Club
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Always Ready 12 9 2 1 36:10 29
2 Club Universitario de Vinto 12 7 2 3 17:12 23
3 Em Huanuni 12 6 1 5 18:22 19
4 Fatic 12 4 2 6 24:24 14
5 Sur-Car 12 4 2 6 21:22 14
6 Deportivo Bata de Quillacollo 12 3 2 7 14:28 11
7 Enrique Happ 12 3 1 8 18:30 10
Promotion - Nacional B 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gatty Ribeiro De Pado 10 6 3 1 19:6 21
2 Mariscal Sucre 10 6 1 3 28:14 19
3 Torre Fuerte 10 5 4 1 25:12 19
4 Universidad Crucena 10 3 1 6 17:23 10
5 CD Kivon 10 3 1 6 16:26 10
6 Libertad Gran Mamore 10 1 2 7 11:35 5
Promotion - Nacional B 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Industrial Aviles 14 10 1 3 29:16 31
2 Independiente 14 9 2 3 35:19 29
3 Atletico Bermejo 14 8 4 2 20:12 28
4 Petrolero de Yacuiba 14 8 0 6 24:11 24
5 Ferrocarril Palmeiras 14 5 4 5 23:26 19
6 Rosario Central 14 3 2 9 14:37 11
7 Juventud Unida Pocitos 14 2 3 9 24:37 9
8 Deportivo Aleman 14 2 2 10 28:39 8
Promotion - Nacional B 2018 (Play Offs)