Sport Picks
Ferrocarril Palmeiras vs Independiente
Bolivia
Nacional B 2018 
AI Match Summary
The Nacional B 2018 game between Ferrocarril Palmeiras and Independiente finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independiente.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Independiente carry the better recent record into this one.
- Ferrocarril Palmeiras are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Ferrocarril Palmeiras Clean Sheet 19%
Independiente Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferrocarril Palmeiras | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 40 |
| Wins | 7 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.65 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 21, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Independiente vs Ferrocarril Palmeiras
4:1
Sep 22, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ferrocarril Palmeiras vs Independiente
3:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferrocarril Palmeiras 36 / 100
Independiente 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferrocarril Palmeiras Independiente
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ferrocarril Palmeiras found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (20 games).
Independiente's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 40 matches.
These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Independiente registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Independiente
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
(Home) 10 Oct
America de Villazon
0 : 1 Ferrocarril Palmeiras
07 Oct
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
0 : 1 Wilstermann Cooperativas
02 Oct
Rosario Central
2 : 1 Ferrocarril Palmeiras
01 Oct
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
1 : 1 America de Villazon
25 Sept
Wilstermann Cooperativas
2 : 1 Ferrocarril Palmeiras
Page 1 of 4
07 Oct
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
0 : 1 Wilstermann Cooperativas
01 Oct
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
1 : 1 America de Villazon
18 Sept
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
2 : 1 Rosario Central
24 Oct
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
1 : 1 Atletico Bermejo
17 Oct
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
3 : 3 Industrial Aviles
Page 1 of 2
Independiente
(Away) 22 Sept
Independiente
5 : 1 Tomayapo
18 Sept
Independiente
1 : 3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
13 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 1 Independiente
11 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1 Independiente
06 Sept
Independiente
0 : 4 Bolivar
Page 1 of 8
13 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 1 Independiente
11 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1 Independiente
01 Sept
Tomayapo
3 : 0 Independiente
22 Aug
Nacional Potosi
3 : 0 Independiente
08 Aug
The Strongest
1 : 2 Independiente
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 36:10 | 29 |
| 2 | Club Universitario de Vinto | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Em Huanuni | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:22 | 19 |
| 4 | Fatic | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 24:24 | 14 |
| 5 | Sur-Car | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:22 | 14 |
| 6 | Deportivo Bata de Quillacollo | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:28 | 11 |
| 7 | Enrique Happ | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 18:30 | 10 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2018 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gatty Ribeiro De Pado | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:6 | 21 |
| 2 | Mariscal Sucre | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 28:14 | 19 |
| 3 | Torre Fuerte | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 25:12 | 19 |
| 4 | Universidad Crucena | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17:23 | 10 |
| 5 | CD Kivon | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:26 | 10 |
| 6 | Libertad Gran Mamore | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11:35 | 5 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2018 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Industrial Aviles | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 29:16 | 31 |
| 2 | Independiente | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 35:19 | 29 |
| 3 | Atletico Bermejo | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 20:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Petrolero de Yacuiba | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 24:11 | 24 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Palmeiras | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:26 | 19 |
| 6 | Rosario Central | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:37 | 11 |
| 7 | Juventud Unida Pocitos | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 24:37 | 9 |
| 8 | Deportivo Aleman | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 28:39 | 8 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2018 (Play Offs)
