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Ferroviaria vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Arena Fonte Luminosa
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Pinheiro C.
27'
Ricardinho
29'
Warley Jr

AI Match Summary

Ferroviaria in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Ferroviaria
11%
Draws
9%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Ferroviaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Ferroviaria have won more games recently than Barra FC (Santa Catarina).
  • Model gives Ferroviaria a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 68%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviaria Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 15 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2026 Serie C
Ferroviaria vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitor Barreto
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviaria 86 / 100
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviaria Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviaria found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Solid form: Ferroviaria remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Barra FC (Santa Catarina) registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviaria VS Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Internacional de Limeira1474317:1425
2Brusque1473420:1524
3Santa Cruz1473415:1024
4Paysandu PA1472522:1923
5Guarani1465325:1423
6Botafogo PB1471619:1522
7Maringa FC1464427:2422
8Ferroviaria1464415:1222
9SER Caxias do Sul1456313:1021
10Floresta EC1455415:1420
11Ituano1454516:1619
12Ypiranga FC1453617:1918
13Volta Redonda1453610:1518
14Amazonas1452713:1917
15Maranhao1445511:1417
16Figueirense1445512:1817
17Itabaiana1444612:1716
18Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1436517:1615
19Confianca143298:1411
20Anapolis142399:189