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Ferroviaria U20 vs Portuguesa Santista U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Ferroviaria U20 Logo

Ferroviaria U20

1 - 0
FT
Portuguesa Santista U20 Logo

Portuguesa Santista U20

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Match Events

28' Event
Zuccaro G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 game between Ferroviaria U20 and Portuguesa Santista U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviaria U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ferroviaria U20
20%
Draws
40%
Portuguesa Santista U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferroviaria U20 come out ahead of Portuguesa Santista U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ferroviaria U20 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ferroviaria U20 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ferroviaria U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Portuguesa Santista U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviaria U20 Portuguesa Santista U20
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.47 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Paulista U20
Ferroviaria U20 vs Portuguesa Santista U20
1:0
Jul 26, 2024 Paulista U20
Ferroviaria U20 vs Portuguesa Santista U20
3:0
Jul 19, 2024 Paulista U20
Portuguesa Santista U20 vs Ferroviaria U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviaria U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuccaro G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Portuguesa Santista U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviaria U20 67 / 100
Portuguesa Santista U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviaria U20 Portuguesa Santista U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviaria U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviaria U20 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Portuguesa Santista U20 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ferroviaria U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviaria U20 VS Portuguesa Santista U20
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviaria U20

(Home)
26 Sept
Ferroviaria U20
2 : 1
Flamengo SP U20
18 Sept
Flamengo SP U20
2 : 0
Ferroviaria U20
12 Sept
Ferroviaria U20
5 : 0
Sao Bento U20
05 Sept
Sertaozinho U20
1 : 1
Ferroviaria U20
21 Aug
Ferroviaria U20
2 : 0
Jabaquara U20
Page 1 of 6

Portuguesa Santista U20

(Away)
27 Sept
Novorizontino U20
1 : 1
Portuguesa Santista U20
19 Sept
Portuguesa Santista U20
2 : 1
Novorizontino U20
12 Sept
Uniao Suzano U20
1 : 2
Portuguesa Santista U20
04 Sept
Portuguesa Santista U20
0 : 1
Santos U20
21 Aug
Portuguesa Santista U20
1 : 0
Sao Bento U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)