Sport Picks
Ferroviaria vs Brusque - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie C Arena Fonte Luminosa, Araraquara 
Match Events
17'
17'
Gazao
50'
50'
Raimar
54'
54'
Adrianinho
AI Match Summary
Ferroviaria in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviaria.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ferroviaria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ferroviaria lately — more wins on the board than Brusque.
- 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Ferroviaria have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 68%
Brusque Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviaria | Brusque |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Serie C
Brusque vs Ferroviaria
1:1
Sep 20, 2026 Serie C
Ferroviaria vs Brusque
3:2
May 17, 2026 Serie C
Ferroviaria vs Brusque
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ferroviaria Compare
Top Goalscorer Allison
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Brusque Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferroviaria 41 / 100
Brusque 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferroviaria Brusque
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferroviaria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Brusque conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Ferroviaria's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.67 goals.
Solid form: Ferroviaria remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ferroviaria VS Brusque
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferroviaria
(Home) 03 Oct
Paysandu PA
1 : 0 Ferroviaria
27 Sept
Brusque
1 : 1 Ferroviaria
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2 Brusque
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Paysandu PA
05 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
3 : 3 Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2 Brusque
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Paysandu PA
29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Confianca
17 Aug
Ferroviaria
4 : 0 Paysandu PA
25 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 0 Maranhao
Page 1 of 3
Brusque
(Away) 03 Oct
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 2 Brusque
27 Sept
Brusque
1 : 1 Ferroviaria
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2 Brusque
13 Sept
Brusque
2 : 2 Internacional de Limeira
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2 Brusque
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 2 Brusque
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2 Brusque
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2 Brusque
29 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2 Brusque
09 Aug
Maranhao
2 : 1 Brusque
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo PB | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 33 |
| 2 | Brusque | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28:22 | 32 |
| 3 | Ferroviaria | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Maringa FC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32:30 | 30 |
| 5 | Floresta EC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 6 | Internacional de Limeira | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 7 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26:27 | 29 |
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20:15 | 29 |
| 9 | Ypiranga FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Guarani | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 34:24 | 28 |
| 11 | Figueirense | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 19:22 | 28 |
| 12 | Maranhao | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 19:18 | 27 |
| 13 | Amazonas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 14 | SER Caxias do Sul | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17:16 | 25 |
| 15 | Ituano | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18:21 | 22 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 13:25 | 21 |
| 17 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 18 | Anapolis | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:27 | 17 |
| 20 | Confianca | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11:20 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)
