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Ferroviaria vs Brusque

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Arena Fonte Luminosa, Araraquara
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Gazao
50'
Raimar
54'
Adrianinho

AI Match Summary

Ferroviaria in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Ferroviaria
22%
Draws
18%
Brusque
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ferroviaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brusque lately — more wins on the board than Ferroviaria.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Ferroviaria taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 68%
Brusque Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviaria Brusque
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie C
Ferroviaria vs Brusque
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Allison
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Brusque Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviaria 68 / 100
Brusque 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviaria Brusque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ferroviaria scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Brusque conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ferroviaria stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Brusque lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviaria VS Brusque
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviaria

(Home)
12 Jul
Ituano
1 : 3
Ferroviaria
04 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 1
SER Caxias do Sul
27 Jun
Itabaiana
1 : 0
Ferroviaria
21 Jun
Ferroviaria
2 : 0
Internacional de Limeira
15 Jun
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
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Brusque

(Away)
13 Jul
Itabaiana
1 : 0
Brusque
06 Jul
Brusque
3 : 1
Figueirense
30 Jun
Botafogo PB
2 : 0
Brusque
21 Jun
Brusque
2 : 1
Floresta EC
14 Jun
Brusque
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Internacional de Limeira1474317:1425
2Brusque1473420:1524
3Santa Cruz1473415:1024
4Paysandu PA1472522:1923
5Guarani1465325:1423
6Botafogo PB1471619:1522
7Maringa FC1464427:2422
8Ferroviaria1464415:1222
9SER Caxias do Sul1456313:1021
10Floresta EC1455415:1420
11Ituano1454516:1619
12Ypiranga FC1453617:1918
13Volta Redonda1453610:1518
14Amazonas1452713:1917
15Maranhao1445511:1417
16Figueirense1445512:1817
17Itabaiana1444612:1716
18Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1436517:1615
19Confianca143298:1411
20Anapolis142399:189
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)